D-backs
OPS1.492Season 0.871
OPS1.000Season 0.503
OPS1.186Season 0.770
NY Yankees
OPS1.193Season 0.795
OPS0.909Season 0.590
OPS1.121Season 0.884
Top 3 risers per team · bar = Last games OPS · line = season
Facts
- positive: Starter ERA gap 1.82 · NY Yankees edge (3.77 vs 1.95)
Market signal
Expected vs Actual Win Rate
Broadly aligned with marketMoney flow: NY Yankees
D-backs winOdds 43.7%-2.7pp
41.0%
NY Yankees winOdds 56.3%+0.3pp
56.6%
Color segment = actual vs expected (green above · gray below)
- Sample games
- D-backs win400NY Yankees win500
- Road profile · NY Yankees
- Actual54.2%+1.2pp
Team condition
Batting · Mound
Last 5 games · Team totals
D-backsNY Yankees
0.267AVG0.232
0.332OBP0.289
4.2Runs / Game4.8
1.8HR / Game1.6
5.6Allowed / Game4.2
Starter Battle
1st–5th · Last 5 games · Team totals
D-backs
0W 1D 4L
NY Yankees
3W 2L
Players
Starting Pitchers
Club probables
Cam Schlittler leads 3 of 4 season metrics
Season
3.77ERA1.95
Gap 1.82
1.17WHIP0.90
6.10K/911.11
2.10BB/92.14
Last 3 gamesvs season
5.21ERA0.86
+1.44 Worsened−1.09 Improved
1.32WHIP0.38
+0.15 Worsened−0.52 Improved
Key Players
Bullpen
Source rank
Top three per team · recent window (grey = season) · tap the count for per-game log
D-backs
136IndexStrong
NY Yankees
112Index
D-backs
| Pitcher | App. | IP | ERA | WHIP | K | Pitches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandyn Garcia | 3.0 | 0.001.94 | 0.330.76 | 2 | 30 | |
| Jonathan Loaisiga | 2.2 | 0.002.32 | 1.501.03 | 3 | 35 | |
| Juan Morillo | 2.1 | 0.002.24 | 0.431.04 | 3 | 35 |
NY Yankees
| Pitcher | App. | IP | ERA | WHIP | K | Pitches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Blackburn | 2.0 | 0.001.65 | 1.001.07 | 0 | 24 | |
| Brent Headrick | 2.1 | 0.001.90 | 0.001.16 | 3 | 37 | |
| David Bednar | 3.0 | 0.002.58 | 1.331.04 | 3 | 44 |
Odds Flow
Pre-match movement — falling odds indicate market support.
- D-backs2.30
- NY Yankees1.58
Opening 2.20 → current 2.30 — moving toward NY Yankees.
| Time | D-backs | NY Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| 00:33 | 2.30 ▴ | 1.58 ▾ |
| 22:23 | 2.20 ▴ | 1.62 ▾ |
| 09:58 | 2.15 ▾ | 1.67 ▴ |
| 06:26 | 2.20 | 1.62 |
Odds Trend
Win odds the market set — last 5 games in order (most recent at right)
- D-backs1.72
- NY Yankees1.64
D-backs average odds 1.72 · actual win rate 20% / NY Yankees average odds 1.64 · actual win rate 80%
Last 5 Games
5G
D-backs
NY Yankees
4.2
Avg Runsaway advantage
4.89.6
Avg Hitshome advantage
8.41.8
Avg HRhome advantage
1.60.6
Avg SBaway advantage
1.23.0
Avg BBeven
3.09.8
Avg Kaway advantage
9.40.8
Avg Errorseven
0.8Home Team Analysis
Poor3L20%
1W4L
Avg ScoredAverage
4.2
Avg ConcededUnstable
6.2
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.19
MLB L.
D-backs
2-9
NY Yankees
L
26.09.17
MLB L.
D-backs
3-4
Marlins
L
26.09.16
MLB L.
D-backs
2-4
Marlins
L
26.09.15
MLB L.
D-backs
8-7
Marlins
W
26.09.14
MLB L.
D-backs
6-7
Rangers
L
Away Team Analysis
Good60%
3W2L
Avg ScoredStrong
6.4
Avg ConcededStable
3.0
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.19
MLB L.
D-backs
2-9
NY Yankees
W
26.09.17
MLB L.
Twins
5-4
NY Yankees
L
26.09.16
MLB L.
Twins
1-8
NY Yankees
W
26.09.15
MLB L.
Twins
3-8
NY Yankees
W
26.09.07
MLB L.
Padres
4-3
NY Yankees
L
H2H Analysis
Average40%
2W3L
Avg ScoredStrong
5.0
Avg ConcededUnstable
6.4
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.19
MLB L.
D-backs
2-9
NY Yankees
L
25.04.04
MLB L.
NY Yankees
9-7
D-backs
W
25.04.03
MLB L.
NY Yankees
3-4
D-backs
L
25.04.02
MLB L.
NY Yankees
5-7
D-backs
L
24.04.04
MLB L.
D-backs
5-6
NY Yankees
L
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