Guardians
OPS1.133Season 0.749
OPS1.064Season 0.719
OPS0.983Season 0.698
Athletics
OPS1.070Season 0.700
OPS0.838Season 0.759
OPS0.795Season 0.722
Top 3 risers per team · bar = Last games OPS · line = season
Facts
- positive: Starter ERA gap 0.86 · Guardians edge (4.16 vs 5.02)
Market signal
Expected vs Actual Win Rate
Broadly aligned with market
Guardians winOdds 61.9%+1.3pp
63.2%
Athletics winOdds 38.1%-0.6pp
37.5%
Color segment = actual vs expected (green above · gray below)
- Sample games
- Guardians win500Athletics win379
- Road profile · Athletics
- Actual40.2%-0.5pp
Team condition
Batting · Mound
Last 5 games · Team totals
GuardiansAthletics
0.234AVG0.191
0.310OBP0.256
5.6Runs / Game2.8
1.6HR / Game1.2
4.4Allowed / Game8.4
Starter Battle
1st–5th · Last 5 games · Team totals
Guardians
2W 1D 2L
Athletics
1W 4L
Players
Starting Pitchers
Club probables
Tanner Bibee leads 3 of 4 season metrics
Season
4.16ERA5.02
Gap 0.86
1.18WHIP1.48
7.11K/98.40
2.74BB/94.40
Last 3 gamesvs season
7.20ERA6.32
+3.04 Worsened+1.30 Worsened
1.47WHIP1.60
+0.29 Worsened+0.12 Worsened
Key Players
Bullpen
Source rank
Top three per team · recent window (grey = season) · tap the count for per-game log
Guardians
112Index
Athletics
71Index
Guardians
| Pitcher | App. | IP | ERA | WHIP | K | Pitches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Smith | 3.0 | 0.002.09 | 0.001.00 | 3 | 31 | |
| Erik Sabrowski | 2.1 | 0.002.78 | 1.291.19 | 3 | 45 | |
| Hunter Gaddis | 2.2 | 3.382.75 | 1.501.22 | 3 | 44 |
Athletics
| Pitcher | App. | IP | ERA | WHIP | K | Pitches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Blewett | 2.1 | 3.862.56 | 2.141.33 | 1 | 39 | |
| Luis Medina | 1.0 | 0.003.29 | 1.001.40 | 2 | 18 | |
| Geoff Hartlieb | 3.2 | 0.004.15 | 0.271.52 | 4 | 43 |
Odds Trend
Win odds the market set — last 5 games in order (most recent at right)
- Guardians1.63
- Athletics2.66
Guardians average odds 1.63 · actual win rate 80% / Athletics average odds 2.66 · actual win rate 20%
Last 5 Games
5G
Guardians
Athletics
5.6
Avg Runshome advantage
2.87.8
Avg Hitshome advantage
6.21.6
Avg HRhome advantage
1.21.0
Avg SBhome advantage
0.83.4
Avg BBhome advantage
2.45.6
Avg Khome advantage
8.40.4
Avg Errorshome advantage
0.8Home Team Analysis
Hot3W80%
4W1L
Avg ScoredAverage
4.8
Avg ConcededAverage
4.2
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.19
MLB L.
Guardians
5-3
Athletics
W
26.09.17
MLB L.
Guardians
6-3
White Sox
W
26.09.16
MLB L.
Guardians
7-6
White Sox
W
26.09.15
MLB L.
Guardians
3-7
White Sox
L
26.09.07
MLB L.
Guardians
3-2
Tigers
W
Away Team Analysis
5L Streak5L0%
0W5L
Avg ScoredWeak
1.6
Avg ConcededAverage
4.6
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.19
MLB L.
Guardians
5-3
Athletics
L
26.09.18
MLB L.
Rays
10-1
Athletics
L
26.09.17
MLB L.
Rays
4-3
Athletics
L
26.09.16
MLB L.
Rays
2-1
Athletics
L
26.09.07
MLB L.
Mariners
2-0
Athletics
L
H2H Analysis
Hot80%
4W1L
Avg ScoredStrong
8.0
Avg ConcededUnstable
5.4
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.19
MLB L.
Guardians
5-3
Athletics
W
26.05.04
MLB L.
Athletics
7-1
Guardians
W
26.05.03
MLB L.
Athletics
6-14
Guardians
L
26.05.02
MLB L.
Athletics
5-8
Guardians
L
26.03.16
MLB Preseason (US)
Guardians
12-6
Athletics
W
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