Rockies
OPS1.304Season 0.804
OPS1.125Season 0.723
OPS1.123Season 0.833
Mariners
OPS1.465Season 0.858
OPS0.828Season 0.698
OPS0.745Season 0.691
Top 3 risers per team · bar = Last games OPS · line = season
Facts
- positive: Starter ERA gap 1.08 · Mariners edge (5.27 vs 4.19)
Market signal
Expected vs Actual Win Rate
Rockies win value +4.7ppMoney flow: Rockies
Rockies winOdds 39.9%+4.7pp
44.6%
Mariners winOdds 60.1%+2.6pp
62.7%
Color segment = actual vs expected (green above · gray below)
- Sample games
- Rockies win278Mariners win407
- Road profile · Mariners
- Actual49.2%-0.6pp
Team condition
Batting · Mound
Last 5 games · Team totals
RockiesMariners
0.315AVG0.263
0.370OBP0.338
5.0Runs / Game4.8
0.8HR / Game1.2
6.8Allowed / Game4.4
Starter Battle
1st–5th · Last 5 games · Team totals
Rockies
0W 1D 4L
Mariners
4W 1L
Players
Starting Pitchers
Club probables
Sample too small to judge
Season
5.27ERA4.19
Gap 1.08
1.51WHIP1.16
4.39K/98.89
3.73BB/92.85
Last 3 gamesvs season
9.00ERA4.73
+3.73 Worsened+0.54 Worsened
2.00WHIP1.65
+0.49 Worsened+0.49 Worsened
Key Players
Bullpen
Source rank
Top three per team · recent window (grey = season) · tap the count for per-game log
Rockies
106Index
Mariners
105Index
Reliability 94%
Rockies
| Pitcher | App. | IP | ERA | WHIP | K | Pitches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brennan Bernardino | 2.0 | 4.502.93 | 0.501.16 | 3 | 29 | |
| Mark Manfredi | 1.2 | 5.403.29 | 3.001.54 | 1 | 36 | |
| Blas Castano | 1.1 | 0.003.62 | 0.751.32 | 2 | 21 |
Mariners
| Pitcher | App. | IP | ERA | WHIP | K | Pitches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Vargas | 2.2 | 6.753.77 | 1.130.98 | 4 | 38 | |
| Gabe Speier | 1.2 | 16.203.14 | 3.001.14 | 2 | 48 | |
| Cooper Criswell | 2.1 | 3.863.38 | 1.711.29 | 3 | 46 |
Odds Flow
Pre-match movement — falling odds indicate market support.
- Rockies2.25
- Mariners1.60
Opening 2.35 → current 2.25 — moving toward Rockies.
| Time | Rockies | Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| 02:20 | 2.25 ▾ | 1.60 ▴ |
| 19:55 | 2.30 ▾ | 1.58 ▴ |
| 18:55 | 2.35 | 1.56 |
Odds Trend
Win odds the market set — last 5 games in order (most recent at right)
- Rockies2.61
- Mariners1.67
Rockies average odds 2.61 · actual win rate 20% / Mariners average odds 1.67 · actual win rate 40%
Last 5 Games
5G
Rockies
Mariners
5.0
Avg Runshome advantage
4.811.6
Avg Hitshome advantage
9.00.8
Avg HRaway advantage
1.21.4
Avg SBhome advantage
1.22.6
Avg BBaway advantage
3.66.4
Avg Khome advantage
8.60.2
Avg Errorshome advantage
0.6Home Team Analysis
Poor3L20%
1W4L
Avg ScoredStrong
5.0
Avg ConcededUnstable
6.8
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.19
MLB L.
Rockies
4-5
Mariners
L
26.09.18
MLB L.
Rockies
2-9
Padres
L
26.09.17
MLB L.
Rockies
3-9
Padres
L
26.09.16
MLB L.
Rockies
9-3
Padres
W
26.09.15
MLB L.
Rockies
7-8
Padres
L
Away Team Analysis
Average2W40%
2W3L
Avg ScoredAverage
4.8
Avg ConcededAverage
4.4
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.19
MLB L.
Rockies
4-5
Mariners
W
26.09.17
MLB L.
Angels
2-7
Mariners
W
26.09.16
MLB L.
Angels
2-1
Mariners
L
26.09.15
MLB L.
Angels
6-4
Mariners
L
26.09.14
MLB L.
Athletics
8-7
Mariners
L
H2H Analysis
Poor20%
1W4L
Avg ScoredStrong
5.0
Avg ConcededUnstable
7.4
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.19
MLB L.
Rockies
4-5
Mariners
L
26.03.18
MLB Preseason (US)
Rockies
6-10
Mariners
L
26.03.12
MLB Preseason (US)
Mariners
7-11
Rockies
L
25.09.26
MLB L.
Mariners
6-2
Rockies
W
25.09.25
MLB L.
Mariners
9-2
Rockies
W
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