NY Mets
OPS0.794Season 0.710
OPS0.683Season 0.662
OPS0.641Season 0.629
Phillies
OPS1.156Season 0.672
OPS1.045Season 0.709
OPS0.975Season 0.643
Top 3 risers per team · bar = Last games OPS · line = season
Facts
- positive: Starter ERA gap 1.78 · NY Mets edge (3.76 vs 5.54)
Market signal
Expected vs Actual Win Rate
Phillies win value +4.7ppMoney flow: NY Mets
NY Mets winOdds 53.3%+3.1pp
56.4%
Phillies winOdds 46.7%+4.7pp
51.4%
Color segment = actual vs expected (green above · gray below)
- Sample games
- NY Mets win500Phillies win500
- Road profile · Phillies
- Actual49.2%-1.9pp
Team condition
Batting · Mound
Last 5 games · Team totals
NY MetsPhillies
0.192AVG0.250
0.269OBP0.342
1.4Runs / Game4.0
0.4HR / Game0.8
4.2Allowed / Game4.4
Starter Battle
1st–5th · Last 5 games · Team totals
NY Mets
2W 1D 2L
Phillies
3W 1D 1L
Players
Starting Pitchers
Club probables
Christian Scott leads 3 of 4 season metrics
Season
3.76ERA5.54
Gap 1.78
1.26WHIP1.44
10.85K/97.80
3.93BB/93.36
Last 3 gamesvs season
3.94ERA3.18
+0.18 Worsened−2.36 Improved
0.94WHIP1.41
−0.32 Improved−0.03 Improved
Key Players
Bullpen
Source rank
Top three per team · recent window (grey = season) · tap the count for per-game log
NY Mets
119Index
Phillies
81Index
Reliability 81%
NY Mets
| Pitcher | App. | IP | ERA | WHIP | K | Pitches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Lavender | 2.2 | 0.001.59 | 0.380.88 | 5 | 34 | |
| Jack Weisenburger | 3.0 | 3.002.61 | 1.331.16 | 5 | 52 | |
| Austin Warren | 3.0 | 0.004.37 | 0.331.43 | 3 | 43 |
Phillies
| Pitcher | App. | IP | ERA | WHIP | K | Pitches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jhoan Duran | 2.0 | 0.001.79 | 0.501.01 | 4 | 35 | |
| Alex McFarlane | 1.0 | 0.002.45 | 0.001.02 | 2 | 14 | |
| Tim Mayza | 0.1 | 0.003.08 | 3.001.04 | 0 | 3 |
Odds Flow
Pre-match movement — falling odds indicate market support.
- NY Mets1.76
- Phillies2.01
Opening 1.79 → current 1.76 — moving toward NY Mets.
| Time | NY Mets | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| 06:46 | 1.76 ▾ | 2.01 ▴ |
| 06:26 | 1.79 | 1.96 |
Odds Trend
Win odds the market set — last 5 games in order (most recent at right)
- NY Mets1.73
- Phillies1.79
NY Mets average odds 1.73 · actual win rate 20% / Phillies average odds 1.79 · actual win rate 60%
Last 5 Games
5G
NY Mets
Phillies
1.4
Avg Runsaway advantage
4.06.4
Avg Hitsaway advantage
8.20.4
Avg HRaway advantage
0.80.4
Avg SBeven
0.43.6
Avg BBaway advantage
4.88.0
Avg Kaway advantage
5.40.4
Avg Errorseven
0.4Home Team Analysis
Poor20%
1W4L
Avg ScoredWeak
2.6
Avg ConcededAverage
4.4
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.19
MLB L.
NY Mets
6-3
Phillies
W
26.09.18
MLB L.
NY Mets
0-3
Phillies
L
26.09.17
MLB L.
NY Mets
1-7
Orioles
L
26.09.16
MLB L.
NY Mets
5-7
Orioles
L
26.09.15
MLB L.
NY Mets
1-2
Orioles
L
Away Team Analysis
Good60%
3W2L
Avg ScoredAverage
4.2
Avg ConcededStable
3.2
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.19
MLB L.
NY Mets
6-3
Phillies
L
26.09.18
MLB L.
NY Mets
0-3
Phillies
W
26.09.17
MLB L.
Nationals
0-3
Phillies
W
26.09.16
MLB L.
Nationals
6-3
Phillies
L
26.09.14
MLB L.
Braves
4-9
Phillies
W
H2H Analysis
Good60%
3W2L
Avg ScoredAverage
3.4
Avg ConcededStable
2.8
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.19
MLB L.
NY Mets
6-3
Phillies
W
26.09.18
MLB L.
NY Mets
0-3
Phillies
L
26.07.20
MLB L.
Phillies
1-6
NY Mets
L
26.07.19
MLB L.
Phillies
6-1
NY Mets
W
26.07.17
MLB L.
Phillies
1-4
NY Mets
L
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