Pirates
OPS1.313Season 0.813
OPS0.971Season 0.559
OPS1.096Season 0.858
Royals
OPS1.068Season 0.772
OPS0.786Season 0.757
OPS0.731Season 0.712
Top 3 risers per team · bar = Last games OPS · line = season
Facts
- positive: Starter ERA gap 0.44 · Royals edge (4.28 vs 3.84)
Market signal
Expected vs Actual Win Rate
Broadly aligned with market
Pirates winOdds 51.2%-0.2pp
51.0%
Royals winOdds 48.8%+0.2pp
49.0%
Color segment = actual vs expected (green above · gray below)
- Sample games
- Pirates win500Royals win500
- Road profile · Royals
- Actual40.6%-2.0pp
Team condition
Batting · Mound
Last 5 games · Team totals
PiratesRoyals
0.257AVG0.157
0.335OBP0.251
3.8Runs / Game2.2
1.2HR / Game0.8
4.2Allowed / Game4.2
Starter Battle
1st–5th · Last 5 games · Team totals
Pirates
1W 1D 3L
Royals
2W 1D 2L
Players
Starting Pitchers
Club probables
Noah Cameron leads 3 of 4 season metrics
Season
4.28ERA3.84
Gap 0.44
1.35WHIP1.19
8.06K/98.06
4.58BB/92.81
Last 3 gamesvs season
4.41ERA2.65
+0.13 Worsened−1.19 Improved
1.29WHIP0.94
−0.06 Improved−0.25 Improved
Key Players
Bullpen
Source rank
Top three per team · recent window (grey = season) · tap the count for per-game log
Pirates
106Index
Royals
88Index
Reliability 74%
Pirates
| Pitcher | App. | IP | ERA | WHIP | K | Pitches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Weaver | 1.2 | 10.802.56 | 1.800.94 | 0 | 24 | |
| Mason Montgomery | 2.1 | 0.002.73 | 0.861.02 | 2 | 36 | |
| Yohan Ramirez | 1.2 | 0.003.05 | 0.001.23 | 3 | 21 |
Royals
| Pitcher | App. | IP | ERA | WHIP | K | Pitches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Pearson | 2.0 | 13.502.51 | 2.501.19 | 2 | 38 | |
| Anthony Gose | 1.0 | 0.000.00 | 1.000.84 | 2 | 14 | |
| Jose Cuas | 2.0 | 0.002.37 | 0.501.84 | 3 | 33 |
Odds Trend
Win odds the market set — last 5 games in order (most recent at right)
- Pirates2.14
- Royals2.38
Pirates average odds 2.14 · actual win rate 60% / Royals average odds 2.38 · actual win rate 20%
Last 5 Games
5G
Pirates
Royals
3.8
Avg Runshome advantage
2.28.8
Avg Hitshome advantage
5.01.2
Avg HRhome advantage
0.80.0
Avg SBaway advantage
0.83.6
Avg BBeven
3.69.8
Avg Keven
9.80.2
Avg Errorshome advantage
0.4Home Team Analysis
Good2W60%
3W2L
Avg ScoredAverage
4.2
Avg ConcededStable
3.8
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.19
MLB L.
Pirates
8-5
Royals
W
26.09.18
MLB L.
Pirates
7-4
Brewers
W
26.09.17
MLB L.
Pirates
4-5
Brewers
L
26.09.16
MLB L.
Pirates
1-5
Brewers
L
26.09.07
MLB L.
Pirates
1-0
Angels
W
Away Team Analysis
Poor2L20%
1W4L
Avg ScoredAverage
3.0
Avg ConcededAverage
4.8
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.19
MLB L.
Pirates
8-5
Royals
L
26.09.18
MLB L.
Astros
6-2
Royals
L
26.09.17
MLB L.
Astros
2-5
Royals
W
26.09.16
MLB L.
Astros
4-2
Royals
L
26.09.14
MLB L.
Red Sox
4-1
Royals
L
H2H Analysis
Average40%
2W3L
Avg ScoredAverage
4.2
Avg ConcededAverage
5.0
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.19
MLB L.
Pirates
8-5
Royals
W
25.07.10
MLB L.
Royals
4-3
Pirates
W
25.07.09
MLB L.
Royals
4-3
Pirates
W
25.07.08
MLB L.
Royals
9-3
Pirates
W
24.09.16
MLB L.
Pirates
4-3
Royals
W
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