Rangers
OPS0.962Season 0.653
OPS1.006Season 0.760
OPS0.935Season 0.809
Blue Jays
OPS0.935Season 0.693
OPS0.909Season 0.738
OPS0.938Season 0.774
Top 3 risers per team · bar = Last games OPS · line = season
Facts
- positive: Starter ERA gap 0.66 · Rangers edge (2.9 vs 3.56)
Market signal
Expected vs Actual Win Rate
Broadly aligned with marketMoney flow: Rangers
Rangers winOdds 46.7%-2.3pp
44.4%
Blue Jays winOdds 53.3%+0.9pp
54.2%
Color segment = actual vs expected (green above · gray below)
- Sample games
- Rangers win500Blue Jays win500
- Road profile · Blue Jays
- Actual49.4%-0.3pp
Team condition
Batting · Mound
Last 5 games · Team totals
RangersBlue Jays
0.261AVG0.232
0.342OBP0.310
5.6Runs / Game4.0
0.4HR / Game0.8
3.2Allowed / Game5.0
Starter Battle
1st–5th · Last games · Team totals
Rangers
4W 0L
Blue Jays
3W 2L
Players
Starting Pitchers
Club probables
Cal Quantrill leads 3 of 4 season metrics
Season
2.90ERA3.56
Gap 0.66
1.05WHIP1.27
6.71K/98.45
2.07BB/93.83
Last 3 gamesvs season
2.37ERA4.50
−0.53 Improved+0.94 Worsened
0.79WHIP1.22
−0.26 Improved−0.05 Improved
Key Players
Bullpen
Source rank
Top three per team · recent window (grey = season) · tap the count for per-game log
Rangers
103Index
Blue Jays
81Index
Rangers
| Pitcher | App. | IP | ERA | WHIP | K | Pitches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Latz | 3.2 | 7.362.11 | 1.910.82 | 5 | 63 | |
| Robert Garcia | 1.1 | 0.002.19 | 3.001.30 | 1 | 22 | |
| Tyler Alexander | 2.2 | 6.753.29 | 1.131.26 | 2 | 45 |
Blue Jays
| Pitcher | App. | IP | ERA | WHIP | K | Pitches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louis Varland | 2.2 | 3.381.30 | 1.131.00 | 4 | 45 | |
| Tyler Rogers | 1.0 | 0.001.73 | 1.001.15 | 1 | 14 | |
| Spencer Miles | 2.0 | 0.002.65 | 2.501.09 | 1 | 35 |
Odds Flow
Pre-match movement — falling odds indicate market support.
- Rangers1.86
- Blue Jays1.86
Opening 1.91 → current 1.86 — moving toward Rangers.
| Time | Rangers | Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| 01:30 | 1.86 ▾ | 1.86 ▴ |
| 22:23 | 1.91 ▾ | 1.82 ▴ |
| 11:02 | 2.01 ▴ | 1.76 ▾ |
| 10:17 | 1.96 ▴ | 1.79 ▾ |
| 06:26 | 1.91 | 1.82 |
Odds Trend
Win odds the market set — last 5 games in order (most recent at right)
- Rangers1.93
- Blue Jays1.66
Rangers average odds 1.93 · actual win rate 80% / Blue Jays average odds 1.66 · actual win rate 40%
Last 5 Games
5G
Rangers
Blue Jays
5.6
Avg Runshome advantage
4.08.4
Avg Hitshome advantage
7.60.4
Avg HRaway advantage
0.80.4
Avg SBaway advantage
0.64.0
Avg BBhome advantage
3.89.0
Avg Kaway advantage
6.00.4
Avg Errorshome advantage
1.2Home Team Analysis
Hot80%
4W1L
Avg ScoredStrong
5.8
Avg ConcededStable
3.2
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.19
MLB L.
Rangers
7-1
Blue Jays
W
26.09.18
MLB L.
Rangers
3-4
Red Sox
L
26.09.17
MLB L.
Rangers
7-3
Red Sox
W
26.09.16
MLB L.
Rangers
4-2
Red Sox
W
26.09.07
MLB L.
Rangers
8-6
Rays
W
Away Team Analysis
Poor2L20%
1W4L
Avg ScoredWeak
2.2
Avg ConcededAverage
4.6
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.19
MLB L.
Rangers
7-1
Blue Jays
L
26.09.10
MLB L.
Athletics
2-0
Blue Jays
L
26.09.09
MLB L.
Athletics
2-4
Blue Jays
W
26.09.08
MLB L.
Athletics
6-5
Blue Jays
L
26.09.07
MLB L.
Royals
6-1
Blue Jays
L
H2H Analysis
Hot100%
5W0L
Avg ScoredStrong
5.6
Avg ConcededStable
3.2
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.19
MLB L.
Rangers
7-1
Blue Jays
W
26.06.29
MLB L.
Blue Jays
2-3
Rangers
L
26.06.28
MLB L.
Blue Jays
4-7
Rangers
L
26.06.27
MLB L.
Blue Jays
4-5
Rangers
L
26.06.26
MLB L.
Blue Jays
5-6
Rangers
L
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