Market signal
Expected vs Actual Win Rate
Sample too small to judgeMoney flow: China
China winOdds 89.0%
100.0%
Iran winOdds 11.0%
0.0%
Color segment = actual vs expected (green above · gray below)
- Sample games
- China win2Iran win1
- Road profile · Iran
- Actual42.9%+12.5pp
Odds Flow
Pre-match movement — falling odds indicate market support.
- China1.04
- Iran9.00
Opening 1.05 → current 1.04 — moving toward China.
| Time | China | Iran |
|---|---|---|
| 08:14 | 1.04 ▴ | 9.00 ▾ |
| 00:33 | 1.03 | 10.00 ▾ |
| 21:37 | 1.03 ▾ | 10.50 ▴ |
| 20:28 | 1.04 ▾ | 9.00 ▴ |
| 19:09 | 1.05 | 8.50 |
Odds Trend
Win odds the market set — last 5 games in order (most recent at right)
- China1.15
- Iran3.08
China average odds 1.15 / Iran average odds 3.08 · actual win rate 60%
Last 5 Games
China
Iran
80.0%
Win Ratehome advantage
60.0%94.8
Avg Scoredhome advantage
67.223.6
Avg Marginhome advantage
-2.2Home Team Analysis
Hot5W100%
5W0L
Avg ScoredWeak
94.4
Avg ConcededStable
72.2
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.16
Asian Games Bask.
China
87-78
Saudi Arabia
W
26.09.14
Asian Games Bask.
China
105-61
Philippines
W
26.09.11
Asian Games Bask.
China
99-61
Kazakhstan
W
26.08.31
Bask. World Cup Qual
China
89-87
Lebanon
W
26.07.06
Bask. World Cup Qual
China
92-74
Taiwan
W
Away Team Analysis
Good60%
3W2L
Avg ScoredWeak
63.8
Avg ConcededStable
63.0
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.18
Asian Games Bask.
South Korea
77-51
Iran
L
26.09.12
Asian Games Bask.
Taiwan
69-72
Iran
W
26.08.30
Bask. World Cup Qual
Philippines
68-56
Iran
L
26.07.05
Bask. World Cup Qual
Syria
52-73
Iran
W
26.07.03
Bask. World Cup Qual
Jordan
49-67
Iran
W
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