PanthersHome
| PlayerPlayer | GPGP | GG | AA | SS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Seth Jones(D) | 3 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
Matthew Tkachuk(LW) | 3 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
Sam Reinhart(C) | 3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 3.0 |
BlackhawksAway
| PlayerPlayer | GPGP | GG | AA | SS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 4.7 | |
Roman Kantserov(RW) | 3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| 3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 3.7 |
PanthersHome
09:30Scheduled
BlackhawksAway
Sportic Genie
Panthers win
Florida is the lean, not a call for a rout.
Take Florida in the win/loss market.
Its season scoring rate and 4-1 record in the last five head-to-head games support the favorite.
If Chicago turns Bedard’s 14 shots in his last three games into enough offense to end its away skid, this pick loses.
Panthers vs Blackhawks
Market signal
Implied vs actual win
Panthers win value +9.5pp
Panthers winActual 79.2%
+9.5pp
Blackhawks winActual 24.1%
-6.2pp
- Games at matching odds
- Panthers269 gamesBlackhawks79 games
Odds Flow
- Panthers1.35
- Blackhawks3.10
| Time | Panthers | Blackhawks |
|---|---|---|
| 11.05 04:17 | 1.35 ▴ | 3.10 ▾ |
| 11.05 03:00 | 1.34 ▾ | 3.15 ▴ |
| 11.04 03:26 | 1.35 | 3.10 |
Odds · Last 5 games
- PanthersAvg 1.59· Win 60%
- BlackhawksAvg 2.49· Win 20%
Team condition
Last 5 games
Panthers
Blackhawks
31.8
Avg Hitshome advantage
16.83.2
Avg Goalshome advantage
2.22.8
Avg Concededhome advantage
3.629.4
Avg Shotshome advantage
26.210.9%
Shooting%home advantage
8.4%1.2
Avg PP Goalshome advantage
0.430.0%
PP%home advantage
11.1%11.6
Blockshome advantage
10.830.8
Faceoff Winshome advantage
24.09.4
Penalty Minhome advantage
10.0Key Players
Key Players
Sam Reinhart gives Florida a direct scoring route: three goals on nine shots in his last three games, and eight goals in 15 season games. Matthew Tkachuk added five assists over those three games and averaged 254 seconds of power-play ice time per game. Chicago’s counter is Connor Bedard, with two goals on 14 shots in his last three and 247 seconds of power-play time per game. Those records identify potential contributors, not guaranteed output tonight.
Home Team Analysis
Good60%
3W2L
Avg ScoredStrong
4.0
Avg ConcededAverage
3.2
DateHomeScoreAwayResult
26.11.03
Panthers
3-5
Red Wings
L
26.10.31
Panthers
5-2
Jets
W
26.10.18
Panthers
8-3
Kraken
W
26.10.16
Panthers
3-2
Canucks
W
26.10.11
Panthers
1-4
Wild
L
Panthers
Florida averages 3.13 goals and 28.73 shots per game across 15 season games; its power play has 16 goals on 68 opportunities (23.5%). Its 3.2 goals per game over the last five broadly matches its season scoring rate, while 2.8 allowed is below the season mark of 2.93. A 30% power play over that recent five-game window adds another route to offense. But Florida has allowed 3.2 per game in its last five home games, so special-teams production alone may not protect its edge.
Away Team Analysis
5L Streak5L0%
0W5L
Avg ScoredWeak
1.8
Avg ConcededUnstable
4.6
DateHomeScoreAwayResult
26.11.01
Bruins
5-4
Blackhawks
L
26.10.30
Red Wings
4-1
Blackhawks
L
26.10.09
Islanders
4-1
Blackhawks
L
26.10.04
Sabres
4-3
Blackhawks
L
26.10.02
Mammoth
6-0
Blackhawks
L
Blackhawks
Chicago has averaged 2.2 goals for and 3.87 against across 15 season games, with five power-play goals on 47 opportunities (10.6%). Over its last five, goals against have eased to 3.6 per game, but scoring remains 2.2 and the record is 1-4. The away split is more troubling: Chicago is 0-5 in its last five road games, averaging 1.8 goals for and 4.6 against. The better recent overall goals-against figure does not establish that the road defensive problem is fixed.
H2H Analysis
Hot80%
4W1L
Avg ScoredAverage
3.4
Avg ConcededStable
1.8
DateHomeScoreAwayResult
26.10.26
Blackhawks
2-3
Panthers
L
26.01.26
Blackhawks
1-5
Panthers
L
25.10.08
Panthers
3-2
Blackhawks
W
25.02.02
Panthers
5-1
Blackhawks
W
24.11.22
Blackhawks
3-1
Panthers
W
H2H Analysis
Florida is 4-1 in the last five head-to-head games, averaging 3.4 goals for and 1.8 against, with a +1.6 goals-per-game margin. That history supports the Panthers, while Chicago’s 4.6 goals allowed per game in its last five away games offers a current reason the matchup could tilt further their way. Yet Florida has allowed 2.8 per game over its last five overall. The earlier head-to-head suppression does not guarantee another low-scoring meeting.