Market signal
Expected vs Actual Win Rate
Draw value +3.3ppMoney flow: Santa Fe
Alianza winOdds 32.6%-2.6pp
30.0%
DrawOdds 31.3%+3.3pp
34.6%
Santa Fe winOdds 36.1%-6.1pp
30.0%
Color segment = actual vs expected (green above · gray below)
- Sample games
- Alianza win20Draw162Santa Fe win10
- Road profile · Santa Fe
- Actual34.3%+5.1pp
Odds Flow
Pre-match movement — falling odds indicate market support.
- Alianza2.80
- Santa Fe2.70
- Draw3.00
Opening 2.50 → current 2.80 — moving toward Santa Fe.
| Time | Alianza | Santa Fe | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06:20 | 2.80 ▾ | 2.70 ▴ | 3.00 |
| 15:30 | 2.88 ▴ | 2.60 ▾ | 3.00 |
| 10:30 | 2.75 ▴ | 2.70 ▾ | 3.00 |
| 11:30 | 2.60 ▴ | 2.88 ▴ | 3.00 |
| 06:30 | 2.50 | 2.80 | 3.00 |
Odds Trend
Win odds the market set — last 5 games in order (most recent at right)
- Alianza4.87
- Santa Fe3.06
Alianza average odds 4.87 / Santa Fe average odds 3.06 · actual win rate 40%
Last 5 Games
Alianza
Santa Fe
20.0%
Win Rateaway advantage
40.0%1.0
Avg Scoredaway advantage
1.4-1.6
Avg Marginaway advantage
0.4Home Team Analysis
Poor20%
1W1D3L
Avg ScoredAverage
1.2
Avg ConcededUnstable
2.2
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.13
Prim.
Alianza
1-0
Junior
W
26.08.30
Prim.
Alianza
1-5
Nacional
L
26.08.10
Prim.
Alianza
2-3
Bucaramanga
L
26.08.02
Prim.
Alianza
1-2
Tolima
L
26.07.27
Prim.
Alianza
1-1
Fortaleza CE…
D
Away Team Analysis
Poor20%
1W3D1L
Avg ScoredAverage
1.2
Avg ConcededAverage
1.2
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.08.30
Prim.
Junior
1-1
Santa Fe
D
26.07.27
Prim.
Aguilas
2-1
Santa Fe
L
26.05.10
Prim.
Cali
1-1
Santa Fe
D
26.04.24
Prim.
Pasto
1-2
Santa Fe
W
26.04.13
Prim.
Millonarios
1-1
Santa Fe
D
H2H Analysis
Poor20%
1W1D3L
Avg ScoredAverage
1.4
Avg ConcededAverage
1.2
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.03.15
Prim.
Santa Fe
1-1
Alianza
D
25.11.14
Prim.
Santa Fe
1-0
Alianza
W
25.05.26
Prim.
Alianza
6-1
Santa Fe
W
24.09.27
Prim.
Santa Fe
2-0
Alianza
W
24.03.04
Prim.
Alianza
0-1
Santa Fe
L
Your feedback helps improve AI analysis quality