Market signal
Expected vs Actual Win Rate
Draw value +4.3ppMoney flow: Union SG
Antwerp winOdds 19.3%+1.8pp
21.1%
DrawOdds 23.5%+4.3pp
27.8%
Union SG winOdds 57.2%-9.2pp
48.0%
Color segment = actual vs expected (green above · gray below)
- Sample games
- Antwerp win38Draw18Union SG win25
- Road profile · Union SG
- Actual55.1%+12.1pp
Odds Flow
Pre-match movement — falling odds indicate market support.
- Antwerp4.75
- Union SG1.60
- Draw3.90
No movement since opening.
| Time | Antwerp | Union SG | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17:39 | 4.75 | 1.60 ▾ | 3.90 |
| 21:11 | 4.75 | 1.62 | 3.75 |
Odds Trend
Win odds the market set — last 5 games in order (most recent at right)
- Antwerp3.98
- Union SG1.82
Antwerp average odds 3.98 · actual win rate 20% / Union SG average odds 1.82 · actual win rate 100%
Last 5 Games
Antwerp
Union SG
20.0%
Win Rateaway advantage
100.0%1.8
Avg Scoredaway advantage
3.4-0.6
Avg Marginaway advantage
3.0Home Team Analysis
Average40%
2W1D2L
Avg ScoredAverage
1.8
Avg ConcededAverage
2.0
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.08.30
Belgian Pro L.
Antwerp
1-4
STVV
L
26.08.23
Belgian Pro L.
Antwerp
4-4
Genk
D
26.08.10
Belgian Pro L.
Antwerp
2-1
Beveren
W
26.05.24
Belgian Pro L.
Antwerp
2-0
Westerlo
W
26.05.10
Belgian Pro L.
Antwerp
0-1
Charleroi
L
Away Team Analysis
Hot3W80%
4W1D0L
Avg ScoredStrong
3.2
Avg ConcededStable
1.0
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.18
UEL L.
Plzen
0-3
Union SG
W
26.09.05
Belgian Pro L.
Charleroi
2-3
Union SG
W
26.09.03
Belgian Pro L.
STVV
0-3
Union SG
W
26.08.12
UCL L.
Bodo/Glimt
2-2
Union SG
D
26.08.09
Belgian Pro L.
Westerlo
1-5
Union SG
W
H2H Analysis
Poor20%
1W1D3L
Avg ScoredAverage
1.0
Avg ConcededAverage
1.8
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.02.22
Belgian Pro L.
Union SG
2-1
Antwerp
W
25.07.26
Belgian Pro L.
Antwerp
1-1
Union SG
D
25.05.18
Belgian Pro L.
Antwerp
0-4
Union SG
L
24.12.02
Belgian Pro L.
Union SG
2-1
Antwerp
W
24.09.15
Belgian Pro L.
Antwerp
2-0
Union SG
W
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