Market signal
Expected vs Actual Win Rate
Austria Lustenau win value +4.0ppMoney flow: Altach
Austria Lustenau winOdds 31.0%+4.0pp
35.0%
DrawOdds 26.6%+3.9pp
30.5%
Altach winOdds 42.3%
33.3%
Color segment = actual vs expected (green above · gray below)
- Sample games
- Austria Lustenau win20Draw95Altach win9
- Road profile · Altach
- Actual17.5%-8.6pp
Odds Flow
Pre-match movement — falling odds indicate market support.
- Austria Lustenau3.40
- Altach2.01
- Draw3.50
Opening 2.75 → current 3.40 — moving toward Altach.
| Time | Austria Lustenau | Altach | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23:51 | 3.40 ▴ | 2.01 ▾ | 3.50 |
| 23:31 | 3.30 ▾ | 2.05 ▴ | 3.50 |
| 23:02 | 3.60 ▴ | 1.96 ▾ | 3.50 |
| 22:07 | 3.40 | 2.01 ▾ | 3.50 |
| 20:28 | 3.40 ▴ | 2.05 ▾ | 3.50 |
| 17:23 | 3.25 ▴ | 2.10 | 3.40 |
| 15:08 | 3.20 | 2.10 | 3.40 |
| 14:40 | 3.20 ▴ | 2.10 ▾ | 3.50 |
| 14:24 | 3.10 | 2.15 ▾ | 3.50 |
| 13:59 | 3.10 | 2.20 | 3.40 |
| 12:30 | 3.10 ▴ | 2.20 | 3.50 |
| 11:00 | 3.00 ▴ | 2.20 ▾ | 3.50 |
| 00:14 | 2.75 | 2.25 | 3.40 |
Odds Trend
Win odds the market set — last 5 games in order (most recent at right)
- Austria Lustenau4.28
- Altach3.41
Austria Lustenau average odds 4.28 · actual win rate 20% / Altach average odds 3.41 · actual win rate 20%
Last 5 Games
Austria Lustenau
Altach
20.0%
Win Rateeven
20.0%1.0
Avg Scoredeven
1.0-1.0
Avg Marginaway advantage
-0.8Home Team Analysis
Good60%
3W0D2L
Avg ScoredAverage
1.2
Avg ConcededAverage
1.4
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.08.29
Austrian Bund
Austria Lust…
0-4
Tirol
L
26.08.16
Austrian Bund
Austria Lust…
2-1
WAC
W
24.05.12
Austrian Bund
Austria Lust…
1-0
BW Linz
W
24.05.04
Austrian Bund
Austria Lust…
2-0
Austria Wien
W
24.04.24
Austrian Bund
Austria Lust…
1-2
WAC
L
Away Team Analysis
Poor2L0%
0W2D3L
Avg ScoredWeak
0.8
Avg ConcededUnstable
2.2
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.08.30
Austrian Bund
LASK
3-0
Altach
L
26.08.16
Austrian Bund
Sturm Graz
1-0
Altach
L
26.05.10
Austrian Bund
GAK
2-2
Altach
D
26.04.25
Austrian Bund
BW Linz
3-0
Altach
L
26.04.19
Austrian Bund
Tirol
2-2
Altach
D
H2H Analysis
Poor0%
0W1D2L
Avg ScoredWeak
0.7
Avg ConcededAverage
2.0
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
24.05.19
Austrian Bund
Altach
2-2
Austria Lust…
D
24.04.14
Austrian Bund
Austria Lust…
0-1
Altach
L
23.12.06
Austrian Bund
Altach
3-0
Austria Lust…
W
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