AZ Alkmaar vs SC Telstar Soccer Match Analysis

VS21:30Scheduled

Telstar

Market signal

Expected vs Actual Win Rate

Draw value +8.8ppMoney flow: AZ

AZ winOdds 75.0%-2.3pp

Actual 72.7%

72.7%

DrawOdds 15.6%+8.8pp

24.4%

Telstar winOdds 9.4%-0.7pp

8.7%

Color segment = actual vs expected (green above · gray below)

Sample games: AZ win33Draw41Telstar win23
Road profile · Telstar: Actual26.3%-1.3pp

Players

Key Players

AZ

Ro-Zangelo Daal

Forward · 3G avg · G 1.0 · Rating 8.53 · KP 3.7

Meerdink Mexx

Forward · 3G avg · G 0.3 · A 0.7 · Rating 7.33

Chavez Garcia Mateo

Defender · 3G avg · G 0.3 · A 0.3 · Rating 7.73

Telstar

Soualhia Abdelnour

Defender · 3G avg · Rating 6.97 · Sh 0.3

Marvin Peersman

Defender · 3G avg · Rating 6.93 · KP 1.0 · Sh 1.0

Alders Gerald

Defender · 3G avg · Rating 6.87 · KP 0.3 · Sh 0.7

Top 3 risers per team · Last games averages

Odds Flow

Pre-match movement — falling odds indicate market support.

AZ1.22
Telstar12.00
Draw6.50

Opening 1.27 → current 1.22 — moving toward AZ.

Time	AZ	Telstar	Draw
02:54	1.22 ▾	12.00 ▴	6.50
16:29	1.25	11.00 ▴	6.25
06:30	1.25 ▾	10.00 ▴	6.00
11:30	1.29 ▴	9.00	6.00
23:20	1.27	9.00	5.75

Odds Trend

Win odds the market set — last 5 games in order (most recent at right)

AZ2.48
Telstar5.04

AZ average odds 2.48 · actual win rate 60% / Telstar average odds 5.04 · actual win rate 0%

Last 5 Games

Telstar

3.0

Avg Goals

0.6

1.2

Avg Conceded

2.0

1.8

Avg GD

-1.4

9.2

Corners

4.8

10.6

Fouls

10.0

1.3

Yellow Cards

1.8

Home Team Analysis

Average40%

2W3D0L

Avg ScoredStrong

2.6

Avg ConcededAverage

1.6

DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult

DateLeagueHomeScoreAway1X2Result

26.09.12

Ered

1-1

Willem II

26.09.12

Ered

1-1

Willem II

1.14

8.50

15.00

26.08.30

Ered

5-2

Go Ahead

26.08.30

Ered

5-2

Go Ahead

1.36

5.25

8.00

26.08.09

Ered

2-0

Den Haag

26.08.09

Ered

2-0

Den Haag

1.36

5.00

8.00

26.05.17

Ered

3-3

NAC

26.05.17

Ered

3-3

NAC

1.30

4.75

7.00

26.05.03

Ered

2-2

Twente

26.05.03

Ered

2-2

Twente

2.30

4.00

2.70

Away Team Analysis

Average40%

2W2D1L

Avg ScoredAverage

1.0

Avg ConcededStable

0.8

DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult

DateLeagueHomeScoreAway1X2Result

26.09.13

Ered

Heerenveen

0-0

Telstar

26.09.13

Ered

Heerenveen

0-0

Telstar

1.60

4.50

4.75

26.09.10

Ered

Twente

1-0

Telstar

26.09.10

Ered

Twente

1-0

Telstar

1.22

6.25

11.00

26.08.08

Ered

NEC

1-2

Telstar

26.08.08

Ered

NEC

1-2

Telstar

1.45

4.75

6.25

26.05.17

Ered

Volendam

1-2

Telstar

26.05.17

Ered

Volendam

1-2

Telstar

2.70

3.40

2.50

26.05.03

Ered

NEC

1-1

Telstar

26.05.03

Ered

NEC

1-1

Telstar

1.45

5.00

5.75

H2H Analysis

Hot100%

3W0D0L

Avg ScoredAverage

1.7

Avg ConcededStable

0.7

DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult

DateLeagueHomeScoreAway1X2Result

26.03.05

FA Cup (NL)

2-1

Telstar

26.03.05

FA Cup (NL)

2-1

Telstar

1.46

4.75

5.25

26.01.25

Ered

Telstar

0-1

26.01.25

Ered

Telstar

0-1

3.30

3.50

2.15

25.10.05

Ered

2-1

Telstar

25.10.05

Ered

2-1

Telstar

1.36

5.25

7.50

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Market signal

Expected vs Actual Win Rate

Draw value +8.8ppMoney flow: AZ

AZ winOdds 75.0%-2.3pp

Actual 72.7%

72.7%

DrawOdds 15.6%+8.8pp

24.4%

Telstar winOdds 9.4%-0.7pp

8.7%

Color segment = actual vs expected (green above · gray below)

Sample games: AZ win33Draw41Telstar win23
Road profile · Telstar: Actual26.3%-1.3pp

Players

Key Players

AZ

Ro-Zangelo Daal

Forward · 3G avg · G 1.0 · Rating 8.53 · KP 3.7

Meerdink Mexx

Forward · 3G avg · G 0.3 · A 0.7 · Rating 7.33

Chavez Garcia Mateo

Defender · 3G avg · G 0.3 · A 0.3 · Rating 7.73

Telstar

Soualhia Abdelnour

Defender · 3G avg · Rating 6.97 · Sh 0.3

Marvin Peersman

Defender · 3G avg · Rating 6.93 · KP 1.0 · Sh 1.0

Alders Gerald

Defender · 3G avg · Rating 6.87 · KP 0.3 · Sh 0.7

Top 3 risers per team · Last games averages

Odds Flow

Pre-match movement — falling odds indicate market support.

AZ1.22
Telstar12.00
Draw6.50

Opening 1.27 → current 1.22 — moving toward AZ.

Time	AZ	Telstar	Draw
02:54	1.22 ▾	12.00 ▴	6.50
16:29	1.25	11.00 ▴	6.25
06:30	1.25 ▾	10.00 ▴	6.00
11:30	1.29 ▴	9.00	6.00
23:20	1.27	9.00	5.75

Odds Trend

Win odds the market set — last 5 games in order (most recent at right)

AZ2.48
Telstar5.04

AZ average odds 2.48 · actual win rate 60% / Telstar average odds 5.04 · actual win rate 0%

Last 5 Games

Telstar

3.0

Avg Goals

0.6

1.2

Avg Conceded

2.0

1.8

Avg GD

-1.4

9.2

Corners

4.8

10.6

Fouls

10.0

1.3

Yellow Cards

1.8

Home Team Analysis

Average40%

2W3D0L

Avg ScoredStrong

2.6

Avg ConcededAverage

1.6

DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult

DateLeagueHomeScoreAway1X2Result

26.09.12

Ered

1-1

Willem II

26.09.12

Ered

1-1

Willem II

1.14

8.50

15.00

26.08.30

Ered

5-2

Go Ahead

26.08.30

Ered

5-2

Go Ahead

1.36

5.25

8.00

26.08.09

Ered

2-0

Den Haag

26.08.09

Ered

2-0

Den Haag

1.36

5.00

8.00

26.05.17

Ered

3-3

NAC

26.05.17

Ered

3-3

NAC

1.30

4.75

7.00

26.05.03

Ered

2-2

Twente

26.05.03

Ered

2-2

Twente

2.30

4.00

2.70

Away Team Analysis

Average40%

2W2D1L

Avg ScoredAverage

1.0

Avg ConcededStable

0.8

DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult

DateLeagueHomeScoreAway1X2Result

26.09.13

Ered

Heerenveen

0-0

Telstar

26.09.13

Ered

Heerenveen

0-0

Telstar

1.60

4.50

4.75

26.09.10

Ered

Twente

1-0

Telstar

26.09.10

Ered

Twente

1-0

Telstar

1.22

6.25

11.00

26.08.08

Ered

NEC

1-2

Telstar

26.08.08

Ered

NEC

1-2

Telstar

1.45

4.75

6.25

26.05.17

Ered

Volendam

1-2

Telstar

26.05.17

Ered

Volendam

1-2

Telstar

2.70

3.40

2.50

26.05.03

Ered

NEC

1-1

Telstar

26.05.03

Ered

NEC

1-1

Telstar

1.45

5.00

5.75

H2H Analysis

Hot100%

3W0D0L

Avg ScoredAverage

1.7

Avg ConcededStable

0.7

DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult

DateLeagueHomeScoreAway1X2Result

26.03.05

FA Cup (NL)

2-1

Telstar

26.03.05

FA Cup (NL)

2-1

Telstar

1.46

4.75

5.25

26.01.25

Ered

Telstar

0-1

26.01.25

Ered

Telstar

0-1

3.30

3.50

2.15

25.10.05

Ered

2-1

Telstar

25.10.05

Ered

2-1

Telstar

1.36

5.25

7.50

Market signal

Expected vs Actual Win Ratei

Players

AZ

Telstar

Market signal

Expected vs Actual Win Ratei

Players

AZ

Telstar

Expected vs Actual Win Rate

Expected vs Actual Win Rate