Market signal
Expected vs Actual Win Rate
Tenerife win value +7.1ppMoney flow: Castellón
Castellón winOdds 61.0%+2.0pp
63.0%
DrawOdds 23.0%-2.1pp
20.9%
Tenerife winOdds 16.0%+7.1pp
23.1%
Color segment = actual vs expected (green above · gray below)
- Sample games
- Castellón win73Draw43Tenerife win52
- Road profile · Tenerife
- Actual22.6%-5.7pp
Odds Flow
Pre-match movement — falling odds indicate market support.
- Castellón1.42
- Tenerife7.00
- Draw4.10
Opening 1.53 → current 1.42 — moving toward Castellón.
| Time | Castellón | Tenerife | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15:27 | 1.42 ▾ | 7.00 ▴ | 4.10 |
| 13:59 | 1.51 ▴ | 5.75 ▾ | 3.90 |
| 01:35 | 1.49 ▾ | 6.00 ▴ | 4.00 |
| 17:31 | 1.51 ▾ | 5.75 | 4.00 |
| 16:31 | 1.53 ▴ | 5.75 ▾ | 3.90 |
| 12:00 | 1.49 | 6.00 ▴ | 4.00 |
| 21:11 | 1.49 ▾ | 5.75 ▴ | 3.90 |
| 01:44 | 1.53 | 5.00 | 4.00 |
Odds Trend
Win odds the market set — last 5 games in order (most recent at right)
- Castellón1.91
- Tenerife2.87
Castellón average odds 1.91 · actual win rate 80% / Tenerife average odds 2.87 · actual win rate 60%
Last 5 Games
Castellón
Tenerife
80.0%
Win Ratehome advantage
60.0%1.4
Avg Scoredeven
1.41.0
Avg Marginhome advantage
0.8Home Team Analysis
Average40%
2W3D0L
Avg ScoredAverage
1.2
Avg ConcededStable
0.6
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.07
Segun Divis
Castellón
2-0
Albacete
W
26.08.24
Segun Divis
Castellón
0-0
Sabadell
D
26.06.07
Segun Divis
Castellón
1-1
Almeria
D
26.06.01
Segun Divis
Castellón
2-1
Eibar
W
26.05.16
Segun Divis
Castellón
1-1
Cadiz
D
Away Team Analysis
Poor20%
1W2D2L
Avg ScoredAverage
1.0
Avg ConcededAverage
1.2
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.05
Segun Divis
Sociedad B
1-1
Tenerife
D
26.08.17
Segun Divis
Eibar
1-3
Tenerife
W
25.06.02
Segun Divis
Almeria
2-0
Tenerife
L
25.05.18
Segun Divis
Cartagena
1-0
Tenerife
L
25.05.04
Segun Divis
Levante
1-1
Tenerife
D
H2H Analysis
Average50%
1W0D1L
Avg ScoredAverage
1.0
Avg ConcededAverage
1.5
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
25.01.12
Segun Divis
Tenerife
2-0
Castellón
W
24.09.29
Segun Divis
Castellón
2-1
Tenerife
W
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