Market signal
Expected vs Actual Win Rate
Eibar win value +10.0ppMoney flow: Eldense
Eldense winOdds 31.0%+0.4pp
31.4%
DrawOdds 29.0%+3.7pp
32.7%
Eibar winOdds 40.0%+10.0pp
50.0%
Color segment = actual vs expected (green above · gray below)
- Sample games
- Eldense win70Draw297Eibar win32
- Road profile · Eibar
- Actual30.7%+0.2pp
Odds Flow
Pre-match movement — falling odds indicate market support.
- Eldense2.70
- Eibar2.65
- Draw3.00
Opening 2.82 → current 2.70 — moving toward Eldense.
| Time | Eldense | Eibar | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01:30 | 2.70 | 2.65 ▴ | 3.00 |
| 00:58 | 2.70 ▾ | 2.57 ▴ | 3.10 |
| 00:33 | 2.75 ▾ | 2.50 ▴ | 3.10 |
| 18:45 | 3.00 | 2.35 ▾ | 3.10 |
| 17:55 | 3.00 ▾ | 2.45 ▴ | 3.00 |
| 17:23 | 3.10 ▴ | 2.35 ▾ | 3.10 |
| 15:27 | 2.82 ▾ | 2.55 ▴ | 3.00 |
| 15:08 | 3.00 ▾ | 2.50 ▴ | 3.00 |
| 14:24 | 3.10 | 2.40 ▴ | 3.00 |
| 13:40 | 3.10 ▴ | 2.35 ▾ | 3.10 |
| 12:53 | 2.85 | 2.45 ▾ | 3.10 |
| 11:17 | 2.85 ▾ | 2.50 ▴ | 3.10 |
| 11:02 | 3.00 ▴ | 2.45 | 3.10 |
| 05:17 | 2.85 ▾ | 2.45 ▴ | 3.10 |
| 23:16 | 3.10 ▴ | 2.32 | 3.10 |
| 02:01 | 3.00 ▴ | 2.32 ▾ | 3.20 |
| 12:00 | 2.85 ▴ | 2.40 ▴ | 3.20 |
| 01:44 | 2.82 | 2.32 | 3.20 |
Odds Trend
Win odds the market set — last 5 games in order (most recent at right)
- Eldense4.39
- Eibar2.27
Eldense average odds 4.39 · actual win rate 20% / Eibar average odds 2.27 · actual win rate 80%
Last 5 Games
Eldense
Eibar
20.0%
Win Rateaway advantage
80.0%0.6
Avg Scoredaway advantage
2.0-0.6
Avg Marginaway advantage
1.4Home Team Analysis
Poor2D20%
1W3D1L
Avg ScoredAverage
1.6
Avg ConcededAverage
1.6
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.06
Segun Divis
Eldense
0-0
Mallorca
D
26.08.23
Segun Divis
Eldense
2-2
Cadiz
D
25.12.17
FA Cup (ES)
Eldense
1-2
Sociedad
L
25.12.04
FA Cup (ES)
Eldense
2-1
Almeria
W
25.05.26
Segun Divis
Eldense
3-3
Santander
D
Away Team Analysis
Good2W60%
3W0D2L
Avg ScoredAverage
1.6
Avg ConcededStable
0.8
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.15
Segun Divis
Celta Vigo B
0-4
Eibar
W
26.08.31
Segun Divis
Andorra
0-1
Eibar
W
26.06.01
Segun Divis
Castellón
2-1
Eibar
L
26.05.16
Segun Divis
Leonesa
2-1
Eibar
L
26.05.11
Segun Divis
Mirandes
0-1
Eibar
W
H2H Analysis
Poor0%
0W0D3L
Avg ScoredWeak
0.7
Avg ConcededUnstable
3.0
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
25.01.14
Segun Divis
Eldense
1-3
Eibar
L
24.10.13
Segun Divis
Eibar
1-0
Eldense
W
24.03.31
Segun Divis
Eibar
5-1
Eldense
W
Your feedback helps improve AI analysis quality