Market signal
Expected vs Actual Win Rate
Sabadell win value +3.4pp
Sabadell winOdds 40.9%+3.4pp
44.3%
DrawOdds 31.4%+3.0pp
34.4%
Oviedo winOdds 27.7%-4.2pp
23.5%
Color segment = actual vs expected (green above · gray below)
- Sample games
- Sabadell win122Draw477Oviedo win119
- Road profile · Oviedo
- Actual25.6%-1.8pp
Odds Flow
Pre-match movement — falling odds indicate market support.
- Sabadell2.32
- Oviedo3.40
- Draw2.85
Opening 2.30 → current 2.32 — moving toward Oviedo.
| Time | Sabadell | Oviedo | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18:14 | 2.32 | 3.40 ▴ | 2.85 |
| 03:08 | 2.32 ▴ | 3.30 ▾ | 2.85 |
| 17:39 | 2.30 | 3.40 ▴ | 3.00 |
| 05:01 | 2.30 ▾ | 3.30 ▴ | 3.00 |
| 12:00 | 2.35 ▴ | 3.20 ▴ | 3.00 |
| 21:11 | 2.30 | 3.10 | 3.00 |
Odds Trend
Win odds the market set — last 5 games in order (most recent at right)
- Sabadell3.72
- Oviedo2.32
Sabadell average odds 3.72 · actual win rate 40% / Oviedo average odds 2.32 · actual win rate 40%
Last 5 Games
Sabadell
Oviedo
40.0%
Win Rateeven
40.0%0.8
Avg Scoredeven
0.80.0
Avg Marginaway advantage
0.6Home Team Analysis
Good2W67%
2W0D1L
Avg ScoredAverage
1.3
Avg ConcededAverage
1.3
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.08
Segun Divis
Sabadell
3-2
Córdoba Club
W
26.08.30
Segun Divis
Sabadell
1-0
Almeria
W
25.12.05
FA Cup (ES)
Sabadell
0-2
Deportivo
L
Away Team Analysis
Average2W40%
2W0D3L
Avg ScoredWeak
0.8
Avg ConcededAverage
1.6
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.13
Segun Divis
Valladolid
0-3
Oviedo
W
26.08.30
Segun Divis
Albacete
0-1
Oviedo
W
26.05.24
LaLiga (ES)
Mallorca
3-0
Oviedo
L
26.05.15
LaLiga (ES)
Madrid
2-0
Oviedo
L
26.05.04
LaLiga (ES)
Betis
3-0
Oviedo
L
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