Chapecoense vs Mirassol

Chapecoense’s last five have brought one win and four losses, with 0.6 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; they failed to score in three. Their last five at home look better: 2W-1D-2L and 1.6 goals per game. They have scored four and conceded seven in first halves, compared with four scored and three conceded after the break. Limiting early damage and using that relatively steadier second-half profile is the route to a home response.

Mirassol’s last five read 1W-2D-2L, with 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game: the record is modest, but the defense has not often collapsed. Their last five away match record is identical, though they have conceded 1.2 per game and are on a two-game losing streak. The lower concession rate across all recent matches does not by itself guarantee an away advantage. Their 0.8 away goals per game and five second-half goals conceded are the caveats.

The supplied head-to-head record is a single match, on May 11, 2026, which finished 1-1 from Chapecoense’s perspective. Both teams scored once and neither kept a clean sheet. That balance makes a close game plausible, but one meeting cannot establish a recurring edge. Today, the contrast between Mirassol’s 1.0 goals conceded per game over their last five and Chapecoense’s 2.6 is a more meaningful test than the lone historical draw.