Market signal
Expected vs Actual Win Rate
Broadly aligned with marketMoney flow: Cucuta
Cali winOdds 61.7%+0.1pp
61.8%
DrawOdds 21.8%+2.0pp
23.8%
Cucuta winOdds 16.4%-2.8pp
13.6%
Color segment = actual vs expected (green above · gray below)
- Sample games
- Cali win34Draw21Cucuta win44
- Road profile · Cucuta
- Actual7.7%-11.6pp
Odds Flow
Pre-match movement — falling odds indicate market support.
- Cali1.50
- Cucuta6.00
- Draw4.33
Opening 1.44 → current 1.50 — moving toward Cucuta.
| Time | Cali | Cucuta | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20:28 | 1.50 ▾ | 6.00 ▴ | 4.33 |
| 15:08 | 1.53 ▴ | 5.75 | 4.33 |
| 02:07 | 1.50 ▾ | 5.75 | 4.33 |
| 14:30 | 1.53 ▴ | 5.75 ▾ | 4.33 |
| 11:30 | 1.50 ▴ | 6.00 ▾ | 4.33 |
| 08:30 | 1.44 | 7.50 | 4.00 |
Odds Trend
Win odds the market set — last 5 games in order (most recent at right)
- Cali3.38
- Cucuta6.24
Cali average odds 3.38 · actual win rate 40% / Cucuta average odds 6.24 · actual win rate 20%
Last 5 Games
Cali
Cucuta
40.0%
Win Ratehome advantage
20.0%1.4
Avg Scoredhome advantage
1.00.2
Avg Marginhome advantage
-0.6Home Team Analysis
Good60%
3W2D0L
Avg ScoredAverage
1.4
Avg ConcededStable
0.6
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.08.24
Prim.
Cali
2-2
Inter Bogota
D
26.07.25
Prim.
Cali
2-0
Jaguares Cór…
W
26.04.26
Prim.
Cali
1-0
Cali
W
26.04.13
Prim.
Cali
1-1
Llaneros
D
26.03.29
Prim.
Cali
1-0
Pereira
W
Away Team Analysis
Poor20%
1W1D3L
Avg ScoredWeak
0.8
Avg ConcededAverage
2.0
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.01
Prim.
Tolima
2-1
Cucuta
L
26.08.23
Prim.
Medellin
0-1
Cucuta
W
26.08.09
Prim.
Fortaleza CE…
2-0
Cucuta
L
26.08.04
Prim.
Bucaramanga
1-1
Cucuta
D
26.07.27
Prim.
Once Caldas
5-1
Cucuta
L
H2H Analysis
Hot100%
1W0D0L
Avg ScoredStrong
2.0
Avg ConcededStable
0.0
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.03.15
Prim.
Cucuta
0-2
Cali
L
Your feedback helps improve AI analysis quality