Market signal
Expected vs Actual Win Rate
Grasshopper win value +3.6ppMoney flow: Luzern
Luzern winOdds 57.2%-10.5pp
46.7%
DrawOdds 21.4%+1.9pp
23.3%
Grasshopper winOdds 21.4%+3.6pp
25.0%
Color segment = actual vs expected (green above · gray below)
- Sample games
- Luzern win30Draw43Grasshopper win24
- Road profile · Grasshopper
- Actual19.4%-4.8pp
Odds Flow
Pre-match movement — falling odds indicate market support.
- Luzern1.62
- Grasshopper4.20
- Draw4.50
Opening 1.68 → current 1.62 — moving toward Luzern.
| Time | Luzern | Grasshopper | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01:08 | 1.62 ▾ | 4.20 ▴ | 4.50 |
| 00:58 | 1.66 ▴ | 4.10 ▾ | 4.33 |
| 21:50 | 1.62 ▴ | 4.33 ▾ | 4.33 |
| 21:37 | 1.57 ▾ | 4.50 ▴ | 4.50 |
| 21:05 | 1.62 ▴ | 4.33 ▾ | 4.33 |
| 19:55 | 1.57 ▾ | 4.50 ▴ | 4.50 |
| 12:30 | 1.62 ▾ | 4.33 ▴ | 4.33 |
| 01:14 | 1.68 | 4.10 | 4.00 |
Odds Trend
Win odds the market set — last 5 games in order (most recent at right)
- Luzern3.15
- Grasshopper3.67
Luzern average odds 3.15 · actual win rate 40% / Grasshopper average odds 3.67 · actual win rate 40%
Last 5 Games
Luzern
Grasshopper
40.0%
Win Rateeven
40.0%1.8
Avg Scoredeven
1.80.0
Avg Marginhome advantage
-0.6Home Team Analysis
Good60%
3W1D1L
Avg ScoredAverage
1.8
Avg ConcededAverage
1.6
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.13
Swiss Super L.
Luzern
2-4
Basel
L
26.09.03
Swiss Super L.
Luzern
2-1
Vaduz
W
26.08.23
Swiss Super L.
Luzern
1-0
Lausanne
W
26.05.13
Swiss Super L.
Luzern
1-0
Zurich
W
26.05.10
Swiss Super L.
Luzern
3-3
Servette
D
Away Team Analysis
Average40%
2W0D3L
Avg ScoredAverage
1.6
Avg ConcededAverage
2.0
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.13
Swiss Super L.
Thun
0-1
Grasshopper
W
26.08.30
Swiss Super L.
Vaduz
5-2
Grasshopper
L
26.08.09
Swiss Super L.
Servette
2-1
Grasshopper
L
26.05.17
Swiss Super L.
Lausanne
1-3
Grasshopper
W
26.05.10
Swiss Super L.
Zurich
2-1
Grasshopper
L
H2H Analysis
Hot80%
4W0D1L
Avg ScoredStrong
3.2
Avg ConcededAverage
1.8
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.04.26
Swiss Super L.
Grasshopper
1-2
Luzern
L
26.02.11
Swiss Super L.
Luzern
4-3
Grasshopper
W
25.11.03
Swiss Super L.
Luzern
6-0
Grasshopper
W
25.07.27
Swiss Super L.
Grasshopper
2-3
Luzern
L
25.04.06
Swiss Super L.
Grasshopper
3-1
Luzern
W
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