Feyenoord vs Inter

Federico Dimarco could be a key route for Inter’s chance creation from the left: over his last two games he averaged 3.5 key passes and created two big chances. Sem Steijn has scored once across his last two, but averaged only 13 minutes per game, so his recent impact should not be assumed to extend over a longer spell. Whether Feyenoord can restrict Dimarco’s service and make use of Steijn’s limited minutes could shape the difference between the sides.

Feyenoord’s clearest constraint is the gap between their last-five xG of 0.80 and xGA of 1.48. They scored 1.8 per game in that span, but the chance figures do not confirm that level of scoring as sustainable. At home, though, they went 3W-2D across their last five, averaging 2.6 goals for and 1.0 against. Anis Hadj Moussa can offer a route through: in his last three games he averaged 3.67 shots and 2.0 on target. If that threat does not carry over, the defensive burden remains.

Inter’s last-five record—4W-1L, with 1.8 goals for and 1.0 against per game—is strong, but it should not be mistaken for a like-for-like away profile. Their last five away games brought 2W-1D-2L, with 1.8 goals for and 1.6 against per game. The split is striking: two goals for and eight against in first halves, then seven for and none against after the break. Their second-half response is a strength, but they must first withstand Feyenoord’s home attack.

The last two meetings went against Feyenoord, who scored once and conceded four in total. That history supports Inter, but two games do not settle today’s matchup: Feyenoord are 3W-2D with 2.6 goals per game across their last five at home, while Inter are 2W-1D-2L across their last five away. The key is less whether the old pattern repeats than whether Inter can withstand the home side early.