Galatasaray vs Stuttgart

Stuttgart’s forward roles split between Undav creating and Demirovic finishing. Undav played 89 minutes per game over his last three, recording one goal, two assists and 3.33 key passes per game, though he missed three big chances. Demirovic scored four goals in his last three while playing 30 minutes per game, with 1.33 shots on target per game. If Galatasaray fail to tighten their second-half defending, that pairing can swing a one-goal match.

Galatasaray have built results with a 4-1 record and a four-game winning streak across their last five, scoring 2.4 per game. Their seven first-half goals against three conceded show a route to getting ahead, and they are 4-1 across their last five at home. But the run is not a clean measure of control: their last-five xG is 0.92 against 2.49 xGA, with 43.8% possession. At home over the last five, they have scored five and conceded six after halftime, leaving late defense exposed.

Stuttgart’s 2-1-2 record across their last five does not establish a clear edge, but their away record changes the picture: four wins and one loss across the last five away, with 2.0 scored and 0.6 conceded per game, plus a two-game away winning streak. That away concession rate is well below their 1.4 across the last five overall. Still, their 4-2 win at Leverkusen came with 37% possession and 15 shots against 24, despite a 2.82-1.99 xG advantage. It showed efficiency, not a guarantee of repeating that scoring output.