Market signal
Expected vs Actual Win Rate
Draw value +3.7ppMoney flow: La Plata
La Plata winOdds 51.7%+3.6pp
55.3%
DrawOdds 27.5%+3.7pp
31.2%
Banfield winOdds 20.8%-2.4pp
18.4%
Color segment = actual vs expected (green above · gray below)
- Sample games
- La Plata win47Draw93Banfield win49
- Road profile · Banfield
- Actual20.8%-5.8pp
Odds Flow
Pre-match movement — falling odds indicate market support.
- La Plata1.57
- Banfield6.00
- Draw3.70
Opening 1.62 → current 1.57 — moving toward La Plata.
| Time | La Plata | Banfield | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02:38 | 1.57 ▾ | 6.00 ▴ | 3.70 |
| 00:58 | 1.62 ▾ | 5.75 ▴ | 3.60 |
| 18:55 | 1.66 ▾ | 5.25 | 3.50 |
| 17:23 | 1.68 ▾ | 5.25 ▴ | 3.50 |
| 16:39 | 1.76 ▾ | 4.75 ▴ | 3.40 |
| 08:30 | 1.81 ▴ | 4.50 ▾ | 3.40 |
| 11:00 | 1.79 ▴ | 4.75 | 3.40 |
| 10:30 | 1.76 ▾ | 4.75 | 3.50 |
| 03:00 | 1.79 ▴ | 4.75 ▾ | 3.40 |
| 20:00 | 1.71 | 5.00 ▾ | 3.50 |
| 11:00 | 1.71 ▾ | 5.25 ▴ | 3.40 |
| 09:30 | 1.81 ▴ | 4.33 ▾ | 3.20 |
| 02:44 | 1.62 | 5.50 | 3.40 |
Odds Trend
Win odds the market set — last 5 games in order (most recent at right)
- La Plata3.98
- Banfield4.31
La Plata average odds 3.98 · actual win rate 40% / Banfield average odds 4.31 · actual win rate 20%
Last 5 Games
La Plata
Banfield
40.0%
Win Ratehome advantage
20.0%1.4
Avg Scoredhome advantage
1.2-0.6
Avg Margineven
-0.6Home Team Analysis
Hot80%
4W0D1L
Avg ScoredAverage
1.8
Avg ConcededStable
0.8
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.06
Arge Prim. División
La Plata
2-1
Tigre
W
26.08.23
Arge Prim. División
La Plata
2-3
Rivadavia
L
26.08.10
Arge Prim. División
La Plata
2-0
Barracas Cen…
W
26.07.30
Arge Prim. División
La Plata
1-0
River Plate
W
26.05.04
Arge Prim. División
La Plata
2-0
Argentinos
W
Away Team Analysis
Poor2L20%
1W1D3L
Avg ScoredWeak
0.6
Avg ConcededAverage
1.2
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.06
Arge Prim. División
Aldosivi
3-1
Banfield
L
26.08.23
Arge Prim. División
Newell's
2-1
Banfield
L
26.08.15
Arge Prim. División
Racing
0-1
Banfield
W
26.08.02
Arge Prim. División
Cuarto
0-0
Banfield
D
26.07.25
Arge Prim. División
Huracan
1-0
Banfield
L
H2H Analysis
Hot100%
2W0D0L
Avg ScoredStrong
2.5
Avg ConcededStable
0.5
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.03.12
Arge Prim. División
Banfield
1-2
La Plata
L
24.05.27
Arge Prim. División
La Plata
3-0
Banfield
W
Your feedback helps improve AI analysis quality