Market signal
Expected vs Actual Win Rate
Draw value +9.6ppMoney flow: Riestra
Rivadavia winOdds 41.7%-0.4pp
41.3%
DrawOdds 33.3%+9.6pp
42.9%
Riestra winOdds 25.0%-5.0pp
20.0%
Color segment = actual vs expected (green above · gray below)
- Sample games
- Rivadavia win46Draw63Riestra win35
- Road profile · Riestra
- Actual6.3%-16.6pp
Odds Flow
Pre-match movement — falling odds indicate market support.
- Rivadavia2.35
- Riestra3.60
- Draw2.75
Opening 2.10 → current 2.35 — moving toward Riestra.
| Time | Rivadavia | Riestra | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02:08 | 2.35 ▴ | 3.60 ▾ | 2.75 |
| 19:41 | 2.30 | 3.70 | 2.75 |
| 19:25 | 2.30 | 3.70 ▴ | 2.82 |
| 17:55 | 2.30 ▴ | 3.60 ▾ | 2.82 |
| 13:59 | 2.25 ▴ | 3.75 ▾ | 2.82 |
| 13:40 | 2.15 ▾ | 3.90 ▴ | 2.85 |
| 13:01 | 2.20 ▴ | 3.80 ▾ | 2.85 |
| 05:17 | 2.10 ▾ | 4.00 ▴ | 2.85 |
| 13:30 | 2.25 ▴ | 3.75 ▾ | 2.82 |
| 22:30 | 2.20 ▴ | 3.90 ▾ | 2.85 |
| 11:00 | 2.10 | 4.10 ▴ | 2.85 |
| 02:44 | 2.10 | 3.90 | 2.82 |
Odds Trend
Win odds the market set — last 5 games in order (most recent at right)
- Rivadavia4.19
- Riestra3.22
Rivadavia average odds 4.19 · actual win rate 60% / Riestra average odds 3.22 · actual win rate 0%
Last 5 Games
Rivadavia
Riestra
60.0%
Win Ratehome advantage
0.0%2.2
Avg Scoredhome advantage
0.40.8
Avg Marginhome advantage
-1.0Home Team Analysis
Hot80%
4W1D0L
Avg ScoredStrong
2.0
Avg ConcededStable
0.8
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.06
Arge Prim. División
Rivadavia
2-2
Boca
D
26.08.18
Arge Prim. División
Rivadavia
3-1
Talleres
W
26.08.02
Arge Prim. División
Rivadavia
2-0
Union
W
26.07.25
Arge Prim. División
Rivadavia
1-0
Central Cord…
W
26.05.05
Arge Prim. División
Rivadavia
2-1
Defensa
W
Away Team Analysis
Poor2D0%
0W3D2L
Avg ScoredWeak
0.4
Avg ConcededStable
1.0
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.05
Arge Prim. División
Platense
1-1
Riestra
D
26.08.23
Arge Prim. División
Huracan
0-0
Riestra
D
26.08.16
Arge Prim. División
Newell's
2-0
Riestra
L
26.07.30
Arge Prim. División
Defensa
2-1
Riestra
L
26.05.03
Arge Prim. División
Lanus
0-0
Riestra
D
H2H Analysis
Poor0%
0W1D0L
Avg ScoredWeak
0.0
Avg ConcededStable
0.0
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.03.13
Arge Prim. División
Riestra
0-0
Rivadavia
D
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