Market signal
Expected vs Actual Win Rate
Sample too small to judgeMoney flow: Lausanne
Lausanne winOdds 23.3%
28.6%
DrawOdds 25.2%+3.4pp
28.6%
Lugano winOdds 51.5%-6.0pp
45.5%
Color segment = actual vs expected (green above · gray below)
- Sample games
- Lausanne win7Draw56Lugano win22
- Road profile · Lugano
- Actual36.2%+3.6pp
Odds Flow
Pre-match movement — falling odds indicate market support.
- Lausanne4.00
- Lugano1.81
- Draw3.70
Opening 4.10 → current 4.00 — moving toward Lausanne.
| Time | Lausanne | Lugano | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22:14 | 4.00 ▴ | 1.81 ▾ | 3.70 |
| 12:30 | 3.80 ▴ | 1.86 | 3.60 |
| 05:30 | 3.50 ▾ | 1.86 ▴ | 3.60 |
| 03:00 | 3.90 ▾ | 1.71 ▴ | 3.80 |
| 00:20 | 4.10 | 1.68 | 3.90 |
Odds Trend
Win odds the market set — last 5 games in order (most recent at right)
- Lausanne3.11
- Lugano2.35
Lausanne average odds 3.11 · actual win rate 0% / Lugano average odds 2.35 · actual win rate 80%
Last 5 Games
Lausanne
Lugano
0.0%
Win Rateaway advantage
80.0%0.6
Avg Scoredaway advantage
2.4-1.0
Avg Marginaway advantage
1.4Home Team Analysis
Poor2L0%
0W1D4L
Avg ScoredAverage
1.2
Avg ConcededUnstable
2.4
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.13
Swiss Super L.
Lausanne
0-1
Servette
L
26.08.30
Swiss Super L.
Lausanne
2-3
Zurich
L
26.08.09
Swiss Super L.
Lausanne
2-2
Young Boys
D
26.05.17
Swiss Super L.
Lausanne
1-3
Grasshopper
L
26.05.03
Swiss Super L.
Lausanne
1-3
Luzern
L
Away Team Analysis
Good2W60%
3W2D0L
Avg ScoredStrong
2.6
Avg ConcededAverage
1.2
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.06
Swiss Super L.
Basel
1-3
Lugano
W
26.08.30
Swiss Super L.
Sion
1-2
Lugano
W
26.08.28
UECL L.
Maccabi TA
1-1
Lugano
D
26.08.14
UECL L.
NSI Runavik
2-2
Lugano
D
26.07.29
UECL L.
Dukagjini
1-5
Lugano
W
H2H Analysis
Poor20%
1W3D1L
Avg ScoredAverage
1.0
Avg ConcededStable
0.8
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.02.23
Swiss Super L.
Lugano
2-1
Lausanne
W
25.12.08
Swiss Super L.
Lausanne
0-0
Lugano
D
25.09.18
Swiss Super L.
Lugano
1-1
Lausanne
D
25.05.18
Swiss Super L.
Lausanne
1-1
Lugano
D
25.04.21
Swiss Super L.
Lausanne
2-0
Lugano
W
Your feedback helps improve AI analysis quality