Market signal
Expected vs Actual Win Rate
M. Haifa win value +20.6ppMoney flow: M. Haifa
M. Haifa winOdds 71.1%+20.6pp
91.7%
DrawOdds 17.8%-1.1pp
16.7%
Tiberias winOdds 11.1%-2.0pp
9.1%
Color segment = actual vs expected (green above · gray below)
- Sample games
- M. Haifa win12Draw18Tiberias win11
- Road profile · Tiberias
- Actual22.2%-0.8pp
Odds Flow
Pre-match movement — falling odds indicate market support.
- M. Haifa1.25
- Tiberias8.00
- Draw5.00
Opening 1.33 → current 1.25 — moving toward M. Haifa.
| Time | M. Haifa | Tiberias | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 00:58 | 1.25 ▴ | 8.00 ▾ | 5.00 |
| 22:27 | 1.22 ▾ | 9.00 ▴ | 5.25 |
| 21:50 | 1.27 ▴ | 8.00 ▾ | 5.00 |
| 21:37 | 1.22 ▾ | 9.00 ▴ | 5.25 |
| 17:55 | 1.25 ▾ | 8.50 ▴ | 5.00 |
| 12:53 | 1.29 ▾ | 8.00 ▴ | 4.75 |
| 12:30 | 1.30 ▾ | 7.50 ▴ | 4.75 |
| 23:20 | 1.33 | 7.00 | 4.50 |
Odds Trend
Win odds the market set — last 5 games in order (most recent at right)
- M. Haifa2.05
- Tiberias3.15
M. Haifa average odds 2.05 · actual win rate 100% / Tiberias average odds 3.15 · actual win rate 60%
Last 5 Games
M. Haifa
Tiberias
100.0%
Win Ratehome advantage
60.0%3.4
Avg Scoredhome advantage
1.42.4
Avg Marginhome advantage
0.4Home Team Analysis
Hot3W80%
4W1D0L
Avg ScoredStrong
2.4
Avg ConcededStable
0.8
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.06
Israeli Premier L.
M. Haifa
2-1
Hapoel PT
W
26.08.23
Israeli Premier L.
M. Haifa
2-1
Hap. Ramat G…
W
26.05.20
Israeli Premier L.
M. Haifa
4-1
Hapoel TA
W
26.05.17
Israeli Premier L.
M. Haifa
1-1
Hapoel PT
D
26.05.10
Israeli Premier L.
M. Haifa
3-0
Beitar
W
Away Team Analysis
Good60%
3W1D1L
Avg ScoredAverage
1.6
Avg ConcededStable
0.8
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.06
Israeli Premier L.
Maccabi Tikv…
1-2
Tiberias
W
26.08.30
Israeli Premier L.
Kiryat Shmon…
2-0
Tiberias
L
26.05.19
Israeli Premier L.
Hapoel Jerus…
0-2
Tiberias
W
26.05.04
Israeli Premier L.
Ashdod
0-3
Tiberias
W
26.04.30
Israeli Premier L.
Hapoel Haifa
1-1
Tiberias
D
H2H Analysis
Average50%
2W2D0L
Avg ScoredStrong
2.0
Avg ConcededStable
0.8
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.02.01
Israeli Premier L.
M. Haifa
3-2
Tiberias
W
25.10.26
Israeli Premier L.
Tiberias
1-1
M. Haifa
D
24.12.16
Israeli Premier L.
Tiberias
0-0
M. Haifa
D
24.08.25
Israeli Premier L.
M. Haifa
4-0
Tiberias
W
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