Market signal
Expected vs Actual Win Rate
Millonarios win value +4.6ppMoney flow: Chico
Millonarios winOdds 73.2%+4.6pp
77.8%
DrawOdds 15.7%
0.0%
Chico winOdds 11.1%-5.5pp
5.6%
Color segment = actual vs expected (green above · gray below)
- Sample games
- Millonarios win18Draw2Chico win18
- Road profile · Chico
- Actual6.7%-10.1pp
Odds Flow
Pre-match movement — falling odds indicate market support.
- Millonarios1.22
- Chico10.00
- Draw7.00
Opening 1.18 → current 1.22 — moving toward Chico.
| Time | Millonarios | Chico | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04:04 | 1.22 ▾ | 10.00 ▴ | 7.00 |
| 03:34 | 1.27 ▴ | 9.00 ▾ | 6.25 |
| 02:54 | 1.22 ▾ | 10.00 ▴ | 6.50 |
| 00:58 | 1.25 ▾ | 9.50 ▴ | 6.50 |
| 17:55 | 1.27 ▴ | 9.00 ▾ | 6.25 |
| 15:08 | 1.25 ▾ | 9.50 ▴ | 6.50 |
| 14:24 | 1.27 ▾ | 9.00 ▴ | 6.25 |
| 12:00 | 1.29 ▴ | 8.50 ▾ | 6.00 |
| 10:30 | 1.27 ▴ | 9.50 ▾ | 5.75 |
| 11:30 | 1.20 ▴ | 13.00 ▾ | 6.50 |
| 10:44 | 1.18 | 15.00 | 5.75 |
Odds Trend
Win odds the market set — last 5 games in order (most recent at right)
- Millonarios1.82
- Chico4.70
Millonarios average odds 1.82 · actual win rate 40% / Chico average odds 4.70 · actual win rate 40%
Last 5 Games
Millonarios
Chico
40.0%
Win Rateeven
40.0%1.4
Avg Scoredhome advantage
1.20.4
Avg Margineven
0.4Home Team Analysis
Poor20%
1W3D1L
Avg ScoredAverage
1.0
Avg ConcededStable
0.8
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.08.31
Prim.
Millonarios
0-0
Inter Bogota
D
26.08.05
Prim.
Millonarios
2-0
Pasto
W
26.07.26
Prim.
Millonarios
0-1
Bucaramanga
L
26.04.13
Prim.
Millonarios
1-1
Santa Fe
D
26.03.31
Prim.
Millonarios
2-2
Fortaleza CE…
D
Away Team Analysis
Poor0%
0W1D4L
Avg ScoredWeak
0.4
Avg ConcededUnstable
3.2
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.08.31
Prim.
Aguilas
2-2
Chico
D
26.08.22
Prim.
Jaguares Cór…
1-0
Chico
L
26.08.09
Prim.
Santa Fe
2-0
Chico
L
26.08.03
Prim.
Cali
7-0
Chico
L
26.04.27
Prim.
Inter Bogota
4-0
Chico
L
H2H Analysis
Good60%
3W1D1L
Avg ScoredStrong
2.2
Avg ConcededAverage
1.2
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.03.15
Prim.
Chico
2-1
Millonarios
W
25.11.13
Prim.
Chico
1-2
Millonarios
L
25.05.26
Prim.
Millonarios
4-2
Chico
W
24.04.29
Prim.
Millonarios
3-0
Chico
W
23.10.26
Prim.
Millonarios
1-1
Chico
D
Your feedback helps improve AI analysis quality