Market signal
Expected vs Actual Win Rate
Molde win value +12.5ppMoney flow: Molde
Molde winOdds 71.3%+12.5pp
83.8%
DrawOdds 15.4%-5.4pp
10.0%
Aalesund winOdds 13.2%+9.5pp
22.7%
Color segment = actual vs expected (green above · gray below)
- Sample games
- Molde win37Draw20Aalesund win22
- Road profile · Aalesund
- Actual11.4%-6.3pp
Odds Flow
Pre-match movement — falling odds indicate market support.
- Molde1.33
- Aalesund6.50
- Draw5.75
Opening 1.36 → current 1.33 — moving toward Molde.
| Time | Molde | Aalesund | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 00:58 | 1.33 ▾ | 6.50 ▴ | 5.75 |
| 00:33 | 1.36 ▾ | 6.25 ▴ | 5.75 |
| 00:08 | 1.38 ▴ | 6.00 ▾ | 5.50 |
| 19:15 | 1.36 ▾ | 6.50 ▴ | 5.75 |
| 17:23 | 1.38 ▾ | 6.25 ▴ | 5.50 |
| 15:58 | 1.40 ▴ | 6.00 ▾ | 5.50 |
| 14:40 | 1.38 ▴ | 6.25 ▾ | 5.50 |
| 01:05 | 1.33 ▴ | 7.00 ▾ | 5.75 |
| 20:35 | 1.30 | 7.50 ▴ | 6.00 |
| 22:01 | 1.30 | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| 12:30 | 1.30 ▾ | 7.00 | 5.75 |
| 21:11 | 1.33 ▾ | 7.00 ▴ | 5.75 |
| 18:11 | 1.36 | 6.50 | 5.25 |
Odds Trend
Win odds the market set — last 5 games in order (most recent at right)
- Molde1.76
- Aalesund3.59
Molde average odds 1.76 · actual win rate 80% / Aalesund average odds 3.59 · actual win rate 20%
Last 5 Games
Molde
Aalesund
80.0%
Win Ratehome advantage
20.0%3.0
Avg Scoredhome advantage
2.01.4
Avg Marginhome advantage
0.0Home Team Analysis
Good2W60%
3W1D1L
Avg ScoredStrong
2.2
Avg ConcededAverage
1.6
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.07
Elit
Molde
2-0
Kameratene
W
26.08.17
Elit
Molde
3-2
Tromso
W
26.08.03
Elit
Molde
3-3
Sarpsborg
D
26.07.19
Elit
Molde
1-2
Brann
L
26.05.30
Elit
Molde
2-1
Sandefjord
W
Away Team Analysis
Poor2L0%
0W2D3L
Avg ScoredAverage
1.0
Avg ConcededUnstable
2.4
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.14
Elit
Kameratene
2-1
Aalesund
L
26.08.31
Elit
Viking
2-1
Aalesund
L
26.08.10
Elit
HamKam
1-1
Aalesund
D
26.07.17
Elit
Valerenga
6-1
Aalesund
L
26.05.26
Elit
Tromso
1-1
Aalesund
D
H2H Analysis
Poor0%
0W1D0L
Avg ScoredStrong
2.0
Avg ConcededAverage
2.0
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.07.11
Elit
Aalesund
2-2
Molde
D
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