Market signal
Expected vs Actual Win Rate
Cruz Azul win value +13.8ppMoney flow: Monterrey
Monterrey winOdds 38.8%+10.0pp
48.8%
DrawOdds 27.4%-1.7pp
25.7%
Cruz Azul winOdds 33.8%+13.8pp
47.6%
Color segment = actual vs expected (green above · gray below)
- Sample games
- Monterrey win41Draw214Cruz Azul win21
- Road profile · Cruz Azul
- Actual42.7%+2.6pp
Odds Flow
Pre-match movement — falling odds indicate market support.
- Monterrey2.15
- Cruz Azul3.20
- Draw3.40
Opening 2.25 → current 2.15 — moving toward Monterrey.
| Time | Monterrey | Cruz Azul | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05:23 | 2.15 ▾ | 3.20 ▴ | 3.40 |
| 21:37 | 2.20 ▾ | 3.10 | 3.50 |
| 17:55 | 2.25 ▾ | 3.10 ▴ | 3.40 |
| 13:40 | 2.30 ▾ | 2.85 ▴ | 3.40 |
| 19:15 | 2.40 ▾ | 2.75 ▴ | 3.40 |
| 16:35 | 2.50 ▾ | 2.65 ▴ | 3.40 |
| 15:00 | 2.57 ▾ | 2.57 ▴ | 3.40 |
| 09:00 | 2.65 ▾ | 2.50 ▴ | 3.40 |
| 05:31 | 2.70 ▴ | 2.45 ▾ | 3.40 |
| 03:31 | 2.65 ▴ | 2.50 ▾ | 3.40 |
| 22:01 | 2.50 | 2.65 | 3.40 |
| 18:01 | 2.50 ▴ | 2.65 ▾ | 3.50 |
| 12:00 | 2.35 ▴ | 2.82 ▴ | 3.50 |
| 10:14 | 2.25 | 2.75 | 3.50 |
Odds Trend
Win odds the market set — last 5 games in order (most recent at right)
- Monterrey2.63
- Cruz Azul1.84
Monterrey average odds 2.63 · actual win rate 20% / Cruz Azul average odds 1.84
Last 5 Games
Monterrey
Cruz Azul
20.0%
Win Rateaway advantage
60.0%1.0
Avg Scoredaway advantage
1.6-0.6
Avg Marginaway advantage
0.0Home Team Analysis
Good60%
3W1D1L
Avg ScoredStrong
2.2
Avg ConcededAverage
1.2
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.13
Liga MX (MX)
Monterrey
0-0
Tigres UANL
D
26.08.31
Liga MX (MX)
Monterrey
1-3
San Luis
L
26.08.26
L. Cup (CONCACAF)
Monterrey
2-1
Chicago
W
26.08.16
Liga MX (MX)
Monterrey
6-1
Juarez
W
26.08.13
L. Cup (CONCACAF)
Monterrey
2-1
Nashville
W
Away Team Analysis
Average40%
2W1D2L
Avg ScoredAverage
1.6
Avg ConcededAverage
1.6
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.17
Camp (CONCACAF)
Inter Miami
2-0
Cruz Azul
L
26.08.29
Liga MX (MX)
Necaxa
1-3
Cruz Azul
W
26.08.17
Liga MX (MX)
Tijuana
2-1
Cruz Azul
L
26.07.18
Liga MX (MX)
San Luis
2-3
Cruz Azul
W
26.04.22
Liga MX (MX)
Queretaro
1-1
Cruz Azul
D
H2H Analysis
Poor0%
0W2D3L
Avg ScoredWeak
0.8
Avg ConcededAverage
1.8
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.03.18
Champ. Cup
Cruz Azul
1-1
Monterrey
D
26.03.11
Champ. Cup
Monterrey
2-3
Cruz Azul
L
26.03.01
Liga MX (MX)
Monterrey
0-2
Cruz Azul
L
25.10.26
Liga MX (MX)
Cruz Azul
2-0
Monterrey
W
25.03.09
Liga MX (MX)
Cruz Azul
1-1
Monterrey
D
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