Market signal
Expected vs Actual Win Rate
Motor Lublin win value +11.0ppMoney flow: Motor Lublin
Motor Lublin winOdds 29.6%+11.0pp
40.6%
DrawOdds 27.8%+3.8pp
31.6%
Górnik Zabrze winOdds 42.6%+10.0pp
52.6%
Color segment = actual vs expected (green above · gray below)
- Sample games
- Motor Lublin win32Draw158Górnik Zabrze win19
- Road profile · Górnik Zabrze
- Actual36.4%+5.2pp
Odds Flow
Pre-match movement — falling odds indicate market support.
- Motor Lublin3.10
- Górnik Zabrze2.15
- Draw3.30
Opening 3.50 → current 3.10 — moving toward Motor Lublin.
| Time | Motor Lublin | Górnik Zabrze | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21:37 | 3.10 ▾ | 2.15 ▴ | 3.30 |
| 20:28 | 3.20 ▾ | 2.10 ▴ | 3.30 |
| 17:55 | 3.30 ▴ | 2.05 | 3.30 |
| 16:48 | 3.25 ▴ | 2.05 ▾ | 3.40 |
| 16:35 | 3.10 ▾ | 2.10 ▴ | 3.40 |
| 21:11 | 3.50 | 1.95 | 3.50 |
Odds Trend
Win odds the market set — last 5 games in order (most recent at right)
- Motor Lublin3.06
- Górnik Zabrze2.53
Motor Lublin average odds 3.06 · actual win rate 20% / Górnik Zabrze average odds 2.53 · actual win rate 60%
Last 5 Games
Motor Lublin
Górnik Zabrze
20.0%
Win Rateaway advantage
60.0%1.0
Avg Scoredaway advantage
1.8-0.6
Avg Marginaway advantage
0.2Home Team Analysis
Poor2L20%
1W1D3L
Avg ScoredAverage
1.4
Avg ConcededAverage
2.0
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.06
Ekst
Motor Lublin
2-3
Warsaw
L
26.08.29
Ekst
Motor Lublin
0-2
Piast
L
26.08.16
Ekst
Motor Lublin
1-0
GKS Katowice
W
26.08.01
Ekst
Motor Lublin
1-2
Jagiellonia
L
26.05.16
Ekst
Motor Lublin
3-3
Cracovia
D
Away Team Analysis
Good3W60%
3W0D2L
Avg ScoredAverage
1.2
Avg ConcededStable
0.8
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.06
Ekst
Cracovia
0-1
Górnik Zabrz…
W
26.09.04
Ekst
Rakow
1-2
Górnik Zabrz…
W
26.08.08
Ekst
Radomiak
1-3
Górnik Zabrz…
W
26.08.06
UEL L.
Ferencváros
1-0
Górnik Zabrz…
L
26.07.22
UCL L.
Fenerbahce
1-0
Górnik Zabrz…
L
H2H Analysis
Average50%
2W1D1L
Avg ScoredWeak
0.5
Avg ConcededStable
1.0
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.03.08
Ekst
Motor Lublin
0-0
Górnik Zabrz…
D
25.08.31
Ekst
Górnik Zabrz…
0-1
Motor Lublin
L
25.03.16
Ekst
Górnik Zabrz…
4-0
Motor Lublin
W
24.09.14
Ekst
Motor Lublin
1-0
Górnik Zabrz…
W
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