NEC Nijmegen vs G.A. Eagles Soccer Match Analysis

NEC

VS23:45Scheduled

Go Ahead

Market signal

Expected vs Actual Win Rate

Draw value +4.4ppMoney flow: Go Ahead

NEC winOdds 48.9%-5.0pp

Actual 43.9%

43.9%

DrawOdds 23.8%+4.4pp

28.2%

Go Ahead winOdds 27.2%-10.0pp

17.2%

Color segment = actual vs expected (green above · gray below)

Sample games: NEC win41Draw156Go Ahead win29
Road profile · Go Ahead: Actual21.5%-4.4pp

Players

Key Players

NEC

Nejasmic Darko

Midfielder · 2G avg · G 0.5 · Rating 7.85 · Sh 1.0

Noé Lebreton

Midfielder · 3G avg · G 0.3 · Rating 6.40 · KP 0.7

Bras Gabriel

Defender · 2G avg · Rating 7.30 · Sh 0.5

Go Ahead

Søren Østergaard Tengstedt

Forward · 3G avg · G 0.7 · A 0.3 · Rating 7.60

Victor Kaj Edvardsen

Forward · 3G avg · G 0.7 · Rating 7.80 · KP 3.0

Sigurdarson Stefan Ingi

Forward · 3G avg · G 0.3 · A 0.3 · Rating 7.23

Top 3 risers per team · Last games averages

Odds Flow

Pre-match movement — falling odds indicate market support.

NEC1.91
Go Ahead3.50
Draw4.10

Opening 1.80 → current 1.91 — moving toward Go Ahead.

Time	NEC	Go Ahead	Draw
21:37	1.91 ▴	3.50 ▾	4.10
15:38	1.90 ▾	3.60 ▴	4.10
06:16	1.91 ▾	3.50	4.10
06:30	1.95 ▴	3.50	4.00
05:01	1.91 ▴	3.50 ▾	4.10
19:01	1.85 ▴	3.70 ▾	4.10
11:30	1.80	3.90	4.20
23:20	1.80	3.90	4.10

Odds Trend

Win odds the market set — last 5 games in order (most recent at right)

NEC4.04
Go Ahead4.68

NEC average odds 4.04 · actual win rate 20% / Go Ahead average odds 4.68 · actual win rate 40%

Last 5 Games

NEC

Go Ahead

2.0

Avg Goals

2.4

2.0

Avg Conceded

2.0

0.0

Avg GD

0.4

3.4

Corners

6.0

11.6

Fouls

7.6

1.8

Yellow Cards

1.3

Home Team Analysis

Poor0%

0W2D3L

Avg ScoredAverage

1.2

Avg ConcededUnstable

2.2

DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult

DateLeagueHomeScoreAway1X2Result

26.09.09

Ered

NEC

2-2

Excelsior

26.09.09

Ered

NEC

2-2

Excelsior

1.95

3.75

3.60

26.09.05

Ered

NEC

1-3

Feyenoord

26.09.05

Ered

NEC

1-3

Feyenoord

2.80

3.60

2.35

26.08.20

UCL L.

NEC

1-3

Bodo/Glimt

26.08.20

UCL L.

NEC

1-3

Bodo/Glimt

2.75

3.70

2.20

26.08.12

UCL L.

NEC

1-1

Olympiacos

26.08.12

UCL L.

NEC

1-1

Olympiacos

2.25

3.30

3.10

26.08.08

Ered

NEC

1-2

Telstar

26.08.08

Ered

NEC

1-2

Telstar

1.45

4.75

6.25

Away Team Analysis

Poor0%

0W3D2L

Avg ScoredAverage

1.4

Avg ConcededUnstable

2.2

DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult

DateLeagueHomeScoreAway1X2Result

26.08.30

Ered

5-2

Go Ahead

26.08.30

Ered

5-2

Go Ahead

1.36

5.25

8.00

26.08.16

Ered

Feyenoord

2-2

Go Ahead

26.08.16

Ered

Feyenoord

2-2

Go Ahead

1.25

7.00

10.00

26.05.17

Ered

NEC

2-1

Go Ahead

26.05.17

Ered

NEC

2-1

Go Ahead

1.38

5.75

6.50

26.05.03

Ered

Sparta

2-2

Go Ahead

26.05.03

Ered

Sparta

2-2

Go Ahead

1.95

4.00

3.30

26.04.12

Ered

Groningen

0-0

Go Ahead

26.04.12

Ered

Groningen

0-0

Go Ahead

1.80

4.10

3.90

H2H Analysis

Poor20%

1W1D3L

Avg ScoredAverage

1.2

Avg ConcededUnstable

2.4

DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult

DateLeagueHomeScoreAway1X2Result

26.05.17

Ered

NEC

2-1

Go Ahead

26.05.17

Ered

NEC

2-1

Go Ahead

1.38

5.75

6.50

25.10.06

Ered

Go Ahead

1-1

NEC

25.10.06

Ered

Go Ahead

1-1

NEC

2.55

4.10

2.45

25.03.09

Ered

NEC

2-3

Go Ahead

25.03.09

Ered

NEC

2-3

Go Ahead

2.40

3.50

2.80

24.12.08

Ered

Go Ahead

5-0

NEC

24.12.08

Ered

Go Ahead

5-0

NEC

2.05

3.50

24.05.24

Ered

NEC

1-2

Go Ahead

24.05.24

Ered

NEC

1-2

Go Ahead

1.85

3.90

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Market signal

Expected vs Actual Win Rate

Draw value +4.4ppMoney flow: Go Ahead

NEC winOdds 48.9%-5.0pp

Actual 43.9%

43.9%

DrawOdds 23.8%+4.4pp

28.2%

Go Ahead winOdds 27.2%-10.0pp

17.2%

Color segment = actual vs expected (green above · gray below)

Sample games: NEC win41Draw156Go Ahead win29
Road profile · Go Ahead: Actual21.5%-4.4pp

Players

Key Players

NEC

Nejasmic Darko

Midfielder · 2G avg · G 0.5 · Rating 7.85 · Sh 1.0

Noé Lebreton

Midfielder · 3G avg · G 0.3 · Rating 6.40 · KP 0.7

Bras Gabriel

Defender · 2G avg · Rating 7.30 · Sh 0.5

Go Ahead

Søren Østergaard Tengstedt

Forward · 3G avg · G 0.7 · A 0.3 · Rating 7.60

Victor Kaj Edvardsen

Forward · 3G avg · G 0.7 · Rating 7.80 · KP 3.0

Sigurdarson Stefan Ingi

Forward · 3G avg · G 0.3 · A 0.3 · Rating 7.23

Top 3 risers per team · Last games averages

Odds Flow

Pre-match movement — falling odds indicate market support.

NEC1.91
Go Ahead3.50
Draw4.10

Opening 1.80 → current 1.91 — moving toward Go Ahead.

Time	NEC	Go Ahead	Draw
21:37	1.91 ▴	3.50 ▾	4.10
15:38	1.90 ▾	3.60 ▴	4.10
06:16	1.91 ▾	3.50	4.10
06:30	1.95 ▴	3.50	4.00
05:01	1.91 ▴	3.50 ▾	4.10
19:01	1.85 ▴	3.70 ▾	4.10
11:30	1.80	3.90	4.20
23:20	1.80	3.90	4.10

Odds Trend

Win odds the market set — last 5 games in order (most recent at right)

NEC4.04
Go Ahead4.68

NEC average odds 4.04 · actual win rate 20% / Go Ahead average odds 4.68 · actual win rate 40%

Last 5 Games

NEC

Go Ahead

2.0

Avg Goals

2.4

2.0

Avg Conceded

2.0

0.0

Avg GD

0.4

3.4

Corners

6.0

11.6

Fouls

7.6

1.8

Yellow Cards

1.3

Home Team Analysis

Poor0%

0W2D3L

Avg ScoredAverage

1.2

Avg ConcededUnstable

2.2

DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult

DateLeagueHomeScoreAway1X2Result

26.09.09

Ered

NEC

2-2

Excelsior

26.09.09

Ered

NEC

2-2

Excelsior

1.95

3.75

3.60

26.09.05

Ered

NEC

1-3

Feyenoord

26.09.05

Ered

NEC

1-3

Feyenoord

2.80

3.60

2.35

26.08.20

UCL L.

NEC

1-3

Bodo/Glimt

26.08.20

UCL L.

NEC

1-3

Bodo/Glimt

2.75

3.70

2.20

26.08.12

UCL L.

NEC

1-1

Olympiacos

26.08.12

UCL L.

NEC

1-1

Olympiacos

2.25

3.30

3.10

26.08.08

Ered

NEC

1-2

Telstar

26.08.08

Ered

NEC

1-2

Telstar

1.45

4.75

6.25

Away Team Analysis

Poor0%

0W3D2L

Avg ScoredAverage

1.4

Avg ConcededUnstable

2.2

DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult

DateLeagueHomeScoreAway1X2Result

26.08.30

Ered

5-2

Go Ahead

26.08.30

Ered

5-2

Go Ahead

1.36

5.25

8.00

26.08.16

Ered

Feyenoord

2-2

Go Ahead

26.08.16

Ered

Feyenoord

2-2

Go Ahead

1.25

7.00

10.00

26.05.17

Ered

NEC

2-1

Go Ahead

26.05.17

Ered

NEC

2-1

Go Ahead

1.38

5.75

6.50

26.05.03

Ered

Sparta

2-2

Go Ahead

26.05.03

Ered

Sparta

2-2

Go Ahead

1.95

4.00

3.30

26.04.12

Ered

Groningen

0-0

Go Ahead

26.04.12

Ered

Groningen

0-0

Go Ahead

1.80

4.10

3.90

H2H Analysis

Poor20%

1W1D3L

Avg ScoredAverage

1.2

Avg ConcededUnstable

2.4

DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult

DateLeagueHomeScoreAway1X2Result

26.05.17

Ered

NEC

2-1

Go Ahead

26.05.17

Ered

NEC

2-1

Go Ahead

1.38

5.75

6.50

25.10.06

Ered

Go Ahead

1-1

NEC

25.10.06

Ered

Go Ahead

1-1

NEC

2.55

4.10

2.45

25.03.09

Ered

NEC

2-3

Go Ahead

25.03.09

Ered

NEC

2-3

Go Ahead

2.40

3.50

2.80

24.12.08

Ered

Go Ahead

5-0

NEC

24.12.08

Ered

Go Ahead

5-0

NEC

2.05

3.50

24.05.24

Ered

NEC

1-2

Go Ahead

24.05.24

Ered

NEC

1-2

Go Ahead

1.85

3.90

Market signal

Expected vs Actual Win Ratei

Players

NEC

Go Ahead

Market signal

Expected vs Actual Win Ratei

Players

NEC

Go Ahead

Expected vs Actual Win Rate

Expected vs Actual Win Rate