Market signal
Expected vs Actual Win Rate
Istra 1961 win value +12.6ppMoney flow: Istra 1961
Istra 1961 winOdds 49.9%+12.6pp
62.5%
DrawOdds 26.4%+3.0pp
29.4%
Gorica winOdds 23.6%
0.0%
Color segment = actual vs expected (green above · gray below)
- Sample games
- Istra 1961 win16Draw68Gorica win9
- Road profile · Gorica
- Actual13.0%-9.7pp
Odds Flow
Pre-match movement — falling odds indicate market support.
- Istra 19611.75
- Gorica3.90
- Draw3.50
Opening 1.95 → current 1.75 — moving toward Istra 1961.
| Time | Istra 1961 | Gorica | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03:04 | 1.75 ▾ | 3.90 ▴ | 3.50 |
| 02:54 | 1.80 ▴ | 3.70 ▾ | 3.50 |
| 02:38 | 1.70 ▾ | 4.20 ▴ | 3.60 |
| 00:08 | 1.75 ▾ | 3.90 ▴ | 3.50 |
| 11:30 | 1.80 ▾ | 3.80 ▴ | 3.40 |
| 23:20 | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.30 |
Odds Trend
Win odds the market set — last 5 games in order (most recent at right)
- Istra 19614.00
- Gorica6.64
Istra 1961 average odds 4.00 · actual win rate 40% / Gorica average odds 6.64 · actual win rate 0%
Last 5 Games
Istra 1961
Gorica
40.0%
Win Ratehome advantage
0.0%2.0
Avg Scoredhome advantage
0.60.6
Avg Marginhome advantage
-0.8Home Team Analysis
Average40%
2W2D1L
Avg ScoredStrong
2.0
Avg ConcededAverage
1.4
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.14
Croatian Football L.
Istra 1961
3-2
Rudeš
W
26.08.30
Croatian Football L.
Istra 1961
2-2
Dinamo Zagre…
D
26.08.16
Croatian Football L.
Istra 1961
3-0
Slaven Belup…
W
26.08.02
Croatian Football L.
Istra 1961
2-3
Lokomotiva
L
26.05.18
Croatian Football L.
Istra 1961
0-0
Rijeka
D
Away Team Analysis
5L Streak5L0%
0W0D5L
Avg ScoredWeak
0.2
Avg ConcededAverage
1.8
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.06
Croatian Football L.
Dinamo Zagre…
1-0
Gorica
L
26.08.23
Croatian Football L.
Slaven Belup…
2-0
Gorica
L
26.08.09
Croatian Football L.
Lokomotiva
3-1
Gorica
L
26.05.23
Croatian Football L.
Rijeka
2-0
Gorica
L
26.05.11
Croatian Football L.
Slaven Belup…
1-0
Gorica
L
H2H Analysis
Poor20%
1W0D4L
Avg ScoredWeak
0.6
Avg ConcededAverage
1.4
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.04.28
Croatian Football L.
Gorica
1-0
Istra 1961
W
26.02.21
Croatian Football L.
Istra 1961
0-2
Gorica
L
25.11.24
Croatian Football L.
Gorica
1-0
Istra 1961
W
25.08.30
Croatian Football L.
Istra 1961
1-0
Gorica
W
25.04.12
Croatian Football L.
Gorica
3-2
Istra 1961
W
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