Market signal
Expected vs Actual Win Rate
Sample too small to judge
Spartak Varna winOdds 33.7%
71.4%
DrawOdds 28.5%-5.6pp
22.9%
Lokomotiv Sofia winOdds 37.8%
33.3%
Color segment = actual vs expected (green above · gray below)
- Sample games
- Spartak Varna win7Draw48Lokomotiv Sofia win6
- Road profile · Lokomotiv Sofia
- Actual28.1%+1.6pp
Odds Flow
Pre-match movement — falling odds indicate market support.
- Spartak Varna2.70
- Lokomotiv Sofia2.50
- Draw3.25
Opening 2.55 → current 2.70 — moving toward Lokomotiv Sofia.
| Time | Spartak Varna | Lokomotiv Sofia | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13:12 | 2.70 ▴ | 2.50 ▾ | 3.25 |
| 04:33 | 2.65 ▾ | 2.57 ▴ | 3.25 |
| 10:30 | 2.75 ▴ | 2.45 ▾ | 3.25 |
| 11:00 | 2.65 ▴ | 2.55 ▴ | 3.25 |
| 23:20 | 2.55 | 2.45 | 3.30 |
Odds Trend
Win odds the market set — last 5 games in order (most recent at right)
- Spartak Varna5.50
- Lokomotiv Sofia3.68
Spartak Varna average odds 5.50 · actual win rate 0% / Lokomotiv Sofia average odds 3.68 · actual win rate 0%
Last 5 Games
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Sofia
0.0%
Win Rateeven
0.0%0.4
Avg Scoredaway advantage
1.4-1.4
Avg Marginaway advantage
-1.0Home Team Analysis
Poor2D20%
1W3D1L
Avg ScoredAverage
1.0
Avg ConcededStable
1.0
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.06
Bulg First L.
Spartak Varn…
1-1
CSKA Sofia
D
26.08.31
Bulg First L.
Spartak Varn…
1-1
Ludogorets
D
26.08.18
Bulg First L.
Spartak Varn…
0-1
Septemvri
L
26.08.04
Bulg First L.
Spartak Varn…
1-0
Lokomotiv Pl…
W
26.07.18
Bulg First L.
Spartak Varn…
2-2
CSKA 1948
D
Away Team Analysis
Poor2D0%
0W3D2L
Avg ScoredAverage
1.2
Avg ConcededUnstable
2.2
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.12
Bulg First L.
Cherno More
2-2
Lokomotiv So…
D
26.09.01
Bulg First L.
Dunav
2-2
Lokomotiv So…
D
26.08.18
Bulg First L.
Arda
3-1
Lokomotiv So…
L
26.08.01
Bulg First L.
Slavia Sofia
1-1
Lokomotiv So…
D
26.05.23
Bulg First L.
Spartak Varn…
3-0
Lokomotiv So…
L
H2H Analysis
Average40%
2W2D1L
Avg ScoredAverage
1.8
Avg ConcededAverage
1.2
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.05.23
Bulg First L.
Spartak Varn…
3-0
Lokomotiv So…
W
26.02.14
Bulg First L.
Spartak Varn…
2-2
Lokomotiv So…
D
25.08.23
Bulg First L.
Lokomotiv So…
0-0
Spartak Varn…
D
25.03.28
Bulg First L.
Lokomotiv So…
2-1
Spartak Varn…
W
24.10.06
Bulg First L.
Spartak Varn…
3-2
Lokomotiv So…
W
Your feedback helps improve AI analysis quality