Market signal
Expected vs Actual Win Rate
Broadly aligned with market
Dynamo Dresden winOdds 35.0%-6.8pp
28.2%
DrawOdds 24.9%-0.5pp
24.4%
Hertha winOdds 40.1%-10.6pp
29.5%
Color segment = actual vs expected (green above · gray below)
- Sample games
- Dynamo Dresden win39Draw78Hertha win44
- Road profile · Hertha
- Actual30.8%+0.4pp
Odds Flow
Pre-match movement — falling odds indicate market support.
- Dynamo Dresden2.45
- Hertha2.50
- Draw3.70
No movement since opening.
| Time | Dynamo Dresden | Hertha | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02:30 | 2.45 ▾ | 2.50 ▴ | 3.70 |
| 15:08 | 2.55 ▾ | 2.38 ▴ | 3.70 |
| 07:30 | 2.63 ▴ | 2.30 ▾ | 3.70 |
| 07:00 | 2.50 ▴ | 2.45 ▾ | 3.70 |
| 18:11 | 2.45 | 2.50 ▴ | 3.70 |
| 05:14 | 2.45 | 2.45 ▾ | 3.75 |
| 04:44 | 2.45 | 2.50 | 3.70 |
| 03:44 | 2.45 | 2.50 | 3.60 |
Odds Trend
Win odds the market set — last 5 games in order (most recent at right)
- Dynamo Dresden2.20
- Hertha2.25
Dynamo Dresden average odds 2.20 · actual win rate 40% / Hertha average odds 2.25 · actual win rate 80%
Last 5 Games
Dynamo Dresden
Hertha
40.0%
Win Rateaway advantage
80.0%2.6
Avg Scoredaway advantage
3.00.8
Avg Marginaway advantage
1.6Home Team Analysis
Hot80%
4W0D1L
Avg ScoredAverage
1.4
Avg ConcededStable
0.6
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.06
2 Bund
Dynamo Dresd…
1-2
Bochum
L
26.08.16
2 Bund
Dynamo Dresd…
1-0
Darmstadt
W
26.05.17
2 Bund
Dynamo Dresd…
2-1
Kiel
W
26.05.02
2 Bund
Dynamo Dresd…
1-0
Kaiserslaute…
W
26.04.18
2 Bund
Dynamo Dresd…
2-0
Bochum
W
Away Team Analysis
Good2W60%
3W1D1L
Avg ScoredStrong
2.2
Avg ConcededUnstable
2.2
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.13
2 Bund
Osnabrück
1-3
Hertha
W
26.08.29
2 Bund
Schweinfurt
3-5
Hertha
W
26.08.22
FA Cup (DE)
Saarbrucken
1-1
Hertha
D
26.08.08
2 Bund
Bochum
0-1
Hertha
W
26.05.17
2 Bund
Arminia
6-1
Hertha
L
H2H Analysis
Poor0%
0W0D2L
Avg ScoredWeak
0.0
Avg ConcededAverage
1.5
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.04.05
2 Bund
Dynamo Dresd…
0-1
Hertha
L
25.11.01
2 Bund
Hertha
2-0
Dynamo Dresd…
W
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