Prague vs Arsenal

If Slavia need a second-half response, Danijel Sturm’s two goals in his last three games and Lukas Provod’s 5.5 shots per game across his last two point to the finishing and forward drive they need. Arsenal’s division of labor is clear: Martin Ødegaard supplied 3.33 key passes and created three big chances across his last three, while Eberechi Eze scored twice in that span. Declan Rice played 90 minutes per game in his last three and adds connective work and stability. These records indicate roles, not guaranteed output in this match.

Slavia’s last-five profile—1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game, with 1.67 xG—offers a route to chances; it has also averaged 1.8 goals across its last five home games. The clearest home pattern is late scoring: eight second-half goals versus one in the first half over that window. But Slavia are 0W-1D-2L in this UCL season and have conceded 3.5 per game. A late push requires surviving Arsenal’s pressure and the risk of conceding before then.

Arsenal’s clearest constraint is away scoring: 1.0 goal for and 1.2 against per game in its last five away matches, for a -0.2 average margin. Its broader last-five record is stronger—3W-2D, 0.6 conceded per game, and no scoreless games. The away profile does not justify assuming a wide victory, but the recent overall ability to score consistently and limit goals against supports the win case.

The supplied head-to-head is a single match: Slavia lost 0-3 on 5 November 2025, without scoring or keeping a clean sheet. That result supports Arsenal’s edge, but one meeting is not enough to assume the same margin will recur. Slavia have averaged 1.8 goals in their last five home games, while Arsenal have averaged 1.0 away goals in their last five. Those venue profiles could change the pattern, making the meeting more useful as a warning about the matchup than as proof of another wide scoreline.