Market signal
Expected vs Actual Win Rate
Sample too small to judgeMoney flow: St Pats
DrawOdds 21.5%
37.5%
Color segment = actual vs expected (green above · gray below)
- Sample games
- Draw8
- Road profile · St Pats
- Actual41.4%+4.4pp
Odds Flow
Pre-match movement — falling odds indicate market support.
- Sligo9.00
- St Pats1.30
- Draw4.50
Opening 6.50 → current 9.00 — moving toward St Pats.
| Time | Sligo | St Pats | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03:34 | 9.00 ▴ | 1.30 ▾ | 4.50 |
| 03:04 | 8.00 ▴ | 1.36 ▾ | 4.20 |
| 23:02 | 7.50 ▴ | 1.38 ▾ | 4.10 |
| 19:55 | 7.00 ▾ | 1.40 | 4.00 |
| 19:41 | 7.50 ▾ | 1.40 ▴ | 4.00 |
| 13:01 | 8.00 ▴ | 1.33 ▾ | 4.20 |
| 02:29 | 7.50 ▾ | 1.40 ▴ | 4.00 |
| 05:50 | 8.50 ▴ | 1.33 ▾ | 4.20 |
| 03:50 | 8.00 ▴ | 1.36 ▾ | 4.10 |
| 07:00 | 7.50 ▴ | 1.42 | 3.80 |
| 04:14 | 6.50 | 1.42 | 4.20 |
Odds Trend
Win odds the market set — last 5 games in order (most recent at right)
- Sligo5.75
- St Pats1.80
Sligo average odds 5.75 · actual win rate 0% / St Pats average odds 1.80 · actual win rate 60%
Last 5 Games
Sligo
St Pats
0.0%
Win Rateaway advantage
60.0%0.2
Avg Scoredaway advantage
1.4-1.4
Avg Marginaway advantage
0.6Home Team Analysis
Poor2D0%
0W3D2L
Avg ScoredAverage
1.2
Avg ConcededAverage
1.8
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.08.22
Premier Div.
Sligo
0-0
Waterford
D
26.07.26
Premier Div.
Sligo
2-2
Drogheda
D
26.07.04
Premier Div.
Sligo
1-2
Shamrock
L
26.06.28
Premier Div.
Sligo
2-2
Shelbourne
D
26.05.30
Premier Div.
Sligo
1-3
Bohemians
L
Away Team Analysis
Average2W40%
2W1D2L
Avg ScoredAverage
1.0
Avg ConcededStable
1.0
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.08.22
Premier Div.
Drogheda
0-2
St Pats
W
26.08.10
Premier Div.
Shelbourne
1-2
St Pats
W
26.07.11
Premier Div.
Waterford
1-1
St Pats
D
26.06.27
Premier Div.
Bohemians
2-0
St Pats
L
26.05.30
Premier Div.
Shamrock
1-0
St Pats
L
H2H Analysis
Poor0%
0W1D2L
Avg ScoredWeak
0.7
Avg ConcededUnstable
2.3
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.06.20
Premier Div.
St Pats
2-0
Sligo
W
26.05.05
Premier Div.
Sligo
1-1
St Pats
D
26.04.04
Premier Div.
St Pats
4-1
Sligo
W
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