Market signal
Expected vs Actual Win Rate
Cercle Brugge win value +12.4ppMoney flow: Charleroi
Charleroi winOdds 53.6%+11.1pp
64.7%
DrawOdds 24.6%+4.0pp
28.6%
Cercle Brugge winOdds 21.7%+12.4pp
34.1%
Color segment = actual vs expected (green above · gray below)
- Sample games
- Charleroi win34Draw35Cercle Brugge win44
- Road profile · Cercle Brugge
- Actual31.0%-0.5pp
Odds Flow
Pre-match movement — falling odds indicate market support.
- Charleroi1.62
- Cercle Brugge4.75
- Draw3.70
Opening 1.70 → current 1.62 — moving toward Charleroi.
| Time | Charleroi | Cercle Brugge | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17:23 | 1.62 ▾ | 4.75 ▴ | 3.70 |
| 15:27 | 1.65 ▾ | 4.50 ▴ | 3.70 |
| 01:35 | 1.75 ▴ | 4.00 ▾ | 3.60 |
| 01:44 | 1.70 | 4.20 | 3.70 |
Odds Trend
Win odds the market set — last 5 games in order (most recent at right)
- Charleroi2.28
- Cercle Brugge3.97
Charleroi average odds 2.28 · actual win rate 80% / Cercle Brugge average odds 3.97 · actual win rate 0%
Last 5 Games
Charleroi
Cercle Brugge
80.0%
Win Ratehome advantage
0.0%1.8
Avg Scoredhome advantage
0.81.0
Avg Marginhome advantage
-1.0Home Team Analysis
Average40%
2W1D2L
Avg ScoredAverage
1.6
Avg ConcededAverage
1.2
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.05
Belgian Pro L.
Charleroi
2-3
Union SG
L
26.08.23
Belgian Pro L.
Charleroi
2-0
Mechelen
W
26.08.09
Belgian Pro L.
Charleroi
3-1
OH Leuven
W
26.05.20
Belgian Pro L.
Charleroi
1-1
OH Leuven
D
26.05.16
Belgian Pro L.
Charleroi
0-1
Westerlo
L
Away Team Analysis
Poor20%
1W2D2L
Avg ScoredAverage
1.6
Avg ConcededAverage
1.8
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.13
Belgian Pro L.
OH Leuven
1-1
Cercle Brugg…
D
26.08.24
Belgian Pro L.
Brugge
1-0
Cercle Brugg…
L
26.08.09
Belgian Pro L.
Liege
2-2
Cercle Brugg…
D
26.05.09
Belgian Pro L.
La Louvière
4-1
Cercle Brugg…
L
26.04.19
Belgian Pro L.
Dender
1-4
Cercle Brugg…
W
H2H Analysis
Poor20%
1W2D2L
Avg ScoredAverage
1.4
Avg ConcededAverage
1.8
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.02.08
Belgian Pro L.
Charleroi
3-4
Cercle Brugg…
L
25.09.14
Belgian Pro L.
Cercle Brugg…
2-3
Charleroi
L
25.01.26
Belgian Pro L.
Charleroi
1-1
Cercle Brugg…
D
24.11.04
Belgian Pro L.
Cercle Brugg…
2-0
Charleroi
W
24.03.10
Belgian Pro L.
Charleroi
0-0
Cercle Brugg…
D
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