Market signal
Expected vs Actual Win Rate
Draw value +16.9ppMoney flow: Trabzonspor
Trabzonspor winOdds 30.5%-1.5pp
29.0%
DrawOdds 24.8%+16.9pp
41.7%
Galatasaray winOdds 44.7%+13.6pp
58.3%
Color segment = actual vs expected (green above · gray below)
- Sample games
- Trabzonspor win31Draw24Galatasaray win24
- Road profile · Galatasaray
- Actual54.6%+5.8pp
Odds Flow
Pre-match movement — falling odds indicate market support.
- Trabzonspor2.85
- Galatasaray2.15
- Draw3.60
Opening 3.10 → current 2.85 — moving toward Trabzonspor.
| Time | Trabzonspor | Galatasaray | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02:08 | 2.85 ▾ | 2.15 ▴ | 3.60 |
| 01:38 | 3.00 ▾ | 2.10 ▴ | 3.60 |
| 01:08 | 3.20 ▴ | 2.01 ▾ | 3.70 |
| 00:33 | 3.10 ▾ | 2.05 ▴ | 3.60 |
| 23:02 | 3.20 ▴ | 2.01 ▾ | 3.60 |
| 20:28 | 3.10 ▾ | 2.05 ▴ | 3.60 |
| 18:39 | 3.20 ▴ | 2.01 ▾ | 3.60 |
| 15:38 | 3.00 | 2.05 ▾ | 3.60 |
| 15:08 | 3.00 ▴ | 2.10 | 3.60 |
| 13:40 | 2.85 ▴ | 2.10 ▾ | 3.70 |
| 01:35 | 2.82 ▾ | 2.15 ▴ | 3.70 |
| 07:00 | 3.00 ▴ | 2.05 ▾ | 3.70 |
| 04:14 | 2.85 ▾ | 2.10 ▴ | 3.70 |
| 02:14 | 3.10 | 2.01 | 3.75 |
Odds Trend
Win odds the market set — last 5 games in order (most recent at right)
- Trabzonspor1.82
- Galatasaray2.06
Trabzonspor average odds 1.82 · actual win rate 40% / Galatasaray average odds 2.06 · actual win rate 80%
Last 5 Games
Trabzonspor
Galatasaray
40.0%
Win Rateaway advantage
80.0%1.6
Avg Scoredaway advantage
2.40.0
Avg Marginaway advantage
1.0Home Team Analysis
Average2W40%
2W1D2L
Avg ScoredAverage
1.6
Avg ConcededAverage
1.2
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.07
Süper Lig (TR)
Trabzonspor
5-0
Genclerbirli…
W
26.08.24
Süper Lig (TR)
Trabzonspor
2-1
Basaksehir
W
26.08.21
UEL L.
Trabzonspor
0-1
Ferencváros
L
26.05.18
Süper Lig (TR)
Trabzonspor
0-3
Genclerbirli…
L
26.05.03
Süper Lig (TR)
Trabzonspor
1-1
Goztepe
D
Away Team Analysis
Average40%
2W0D3L
Avg ScoredAverage
1.8
Avg ConcededAverage
2.0
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.10
UCL L.
Sporting CP
3-1
Galatasaray
L
26.09.05
Süper Lig (TR)
Basaksehir
2-3
Galatasaray
W
26.08.22
Süper Lig (TR)
BB Erzurumsp…
0-4
Galatasaray
W
26.05.18
Süper Lig (TR)
Kasimpasa
1-0
Galatasaray
L
26.05.03
Süper Lig (TR)
Samsunspor
4-1
Galatasaray
L
H2H Analysis
Poor20%
1W1D3L
Avg ScoredAverage
1.2
Avg ConcededUnstable
2.4
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.04.05
Süper Lig (TR)
Trabzonspor
2-1
Galatasaray
W
25.11.02
Süper Lig (TR)
Galatasaray
0-0
Trabzonspor
D
25.05.11
Süper Lig (TR)
Trabzonspor
0-2
Galatasaray
L
24.12.17
Süper Lig (TR)
Galatasaray
4-3
Trabzonspor
W
24.01.22
Süper Lig (TR)
Trabzonspor
1-5
Galatasaray
L
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