Market signal
Expected vs Actual Win Rate
Broadly aligned with marketMoney flow: Young Boys
Young Boys winOdds 55.0%0.0pp
55.0%
DrawOdds 21.3%+2.0pp
23.3%
Servette winOdds 23.7%
0.0%
Color segment = actual vs expected (green above · gray below)
- Sample games
- Young Boys win40Draw43Servette win5
- Road profile · Servette
- Actual34.1%+0.8pp
Odds Flow
Pre-match movement — falling odds indicate market support.
- Young Boys1.49
- Servette4.75
- Draw4.75
Opening 1.61 → current 1.49 — moving toward Young Boys.
| Time | Young Boys | Servette | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 00:58 | 1.49 ▾ | 4.75 | 4.75 |
| 00:33 | 1.53 ▴ | 4.75 ▾ | 4.75 |
| 00:08 | 1.49 ▴ | 5.00 | 4.75 |
| 23:31 | 1.46 ▾ | 5.00 | 4.75 |
| 19:09 | 1.49 ▾ | 5.00 ▴ | 4.75 |
| 18:25 | 1.51 ▾ | 4.75 | 4.75 |
| 18:15 | 1.53 | 4.75 | 4.75 |
| 16:39 | 1.53 | 4.75 ▴ | 4.50 |
| 14:10 | 1.53 ▾ | 4.50 ▴ | 4.75 |
| 13:40 | 1.57 ▾ | 4.33 ▴ | 4.50 |
| 02:07 | 1.62 ▾ | 4.10 ▴ | 4.50 |
| 19:15 | 1.68 | 3.90 | 4.33 |
| 17:04 | 1.68 | 3.90 ▴ | 4.50 |
| 02:01 | 1.68 ▾ | 3.80 | 4.33 |
| 12:30 | 1.71 ▾ | 3.80 ▴ | 4.33 |
| 07:00 | 1.76 ▴ | 3.70 ▾ | 4.10 |
| 05:30 | 1.71 ▴ | 3.80 ▾ | 4.20 |
| 01:14 | 1.61 | 4.20 | 4.33 |
Odds Trend
Win odds the market set — last 5 games in order (most recent at right)
- Young Boys1.76
- Servette2.37
Young Boys average odds 1.76 · actual win rate 40% / Servette average odds 2.37 · actual win rate 40%
Last 5 Games
Young Boys
Servette
40.0%
Win Rateeven
40.0%3.2
Avg Scoredhome advantage
1.20.8
Avg Marginhome advantage
0.0Home Team Analysis
Average2D40%
2W3D0L
Avg ScoredStrong
3.2
Avg ConcededUnstable
2.2
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.06
Swiss Super L.
Young Boys
3-3
Luzern
D
26.08.30
Swiss Super L.
Young Boys
3-3
Basel
D
26.08.23
Swiss Super L.
Young Boys
4-2
Vaduz
W
26.05.17
Swiss Super L.
Young Boys
3-3
Sion
D
26.05.10
Swiss Super L.
Young Boys
3-0
Basel
W
Away Team Analysis
Good2W60%
3W1D1L
Avg ScoredStrong
2.0
Avg ConcededAverage
1.2
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.09.17
Swiss Super L.
Thun
2-4
Servette
W
26.09.13
Swiss Super L.
Lausanne
0-1
Servette
W
26.09.04
Swiss Super L.
Lugano
1-0
Servette
L
26.05.17
Swiss Super L.
Zurich
0-2
Servette
W
26.05.10
Swiss Super L.
Luzern
3-3
Servette
D
H2H Analysis
Average40%
2W3D0L
Avg ScoredAverage
1.8
Avg ConcededAverage
1.2
DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult
26.04.12
Swiss Super L.
Young Boys
1-1
Servette
D
25.11.30
Swiss Super L.
Servette
4-4
Young Boys
D
25.07.27
Swiss Super L.
Young Boys
3-1
Servette
W
25.05.11
Swiss Super L.
Servette
0-0
Young Boys
D
25.04.02
Swiss Super L.
Servette
0-1
Young Boys
L
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