SunsHome
| PlayerPlayer | GPGP | PTSPTS | REBREB | ASTAST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 20.7 | 8.0 | 3.0 | |
| 3 | 19.7 | 4.7 | 3.7 | |
Devin Booker(G) | 3 | 16.3 | 2.3 | 5.7 |
BlazersAway
| PlayerPlayer | GPGP | PTSPTS | REBREB | ASTAST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Deni Avdija(F) | 3 | 25.3 | 5.7 | 4.7 |
| 3 | 17.0 | 4.3 | 4.0 | |
Jrue Holiday(G) | 3 | 12.3 | 6.0 | 5.7 |
Sportic Genie
Blazers win
Portland's case rests on both recent results and rebounding: it is 4-1 over its last five, averaging 45.8 rebounds, and won all four recent road games while scoring 123.5 points per game.
Portland's 4-1 record over its last five and four straight recent road wins anchor the road-win pick.
Phoenix has allowed 122.8 points per game over its last five and is on a three-game losing streak, with little recent evidence that it can suppress the visitors' attack.
Portland averaged 26.25 points in the first quarter of its last four road games; if Phoenix turns that slow start into a lead it can protect, this pick can fail.
Suns vs Blazers
Market signal
Implied vs actual win
Suns win value +5.8pp
Suns winActual 48.7%
+5.8pp
Blazers winActual 53.9%
-3.2pp
- Games at matching odds
- Suns113 gamesBlazers180 games
Odds Flow
- Suns2.24
- Blazers1.68
| Time | Suns | Blazers |
|---|---|---|
| 11.05 04:57 | 2.24 ▾ | 1.68 ▴ |
| 11.04 15:17 | 2.28 ▴ | 1.65 ▾ |
| 11.04 06:57 | 2.25 | 1.67 |
Odds · Last 5 games
- SunsAvg 2.38· Win 20%
- BlazersAvg 1.68· Win 80%
Team condition
Last 5 games
Suns
Blazers
112.2
Avg Pointsaway advantage
119.439.6
Reboundsaway advantage
45.827.6
Assistshome advantage
25.89.4
Stealshome advantage
6.815.2
Turnoversaway advantage
15.022.8
Foulsaway advantage
21.8Key Players
Key Players
Deni Avdija is a key link in Portland's attack: over his last three games he has averaged 25.33 points and 5.67 rebounds while shooting 48% from the field, helping the visitors at both scoring and rebounding. Damian Lillard's 20.83% three-point shooting over that span makes outside support uncertain, while Jrue Holiday has shot 53.85% from three and posted a 3.4 assist-to-turnover ratio. Phoenix needs to disrupt Avdija's scoring route and Holiday's creation; if its rebounding deficit persists, however, one defensive stop may not end the possession.
Home Team Analysis
Average40%
2W3L
Avg ScoredStrong
118.6
Avg ConcededAverage
119.4
DateHomeScoreAwayResult
26.10.31
Suns
120-127
Nuggets
L
26.10.25
Suns
131-122
Golden Warrior…
W
26.04.28
Suns
122-131
Thunder
L
26.04.26
Suns
109-121
Thunder
L
26.04.18
Suns
111-96
Golden Warrior…
W
Suns
Phoenix's first constraint is prevention, not scoring. It put up 112.2 points but allowed 122.8 per game over its last five, while shooting 35.26% from three. Portland's 45.8 rebounds over its last five exceed Phoenix's 39.6, giving the visitors an edge in extra chances. Phoenix did average 125.5 points and 12 offensive rebounds in its last two home games. To make that scoring route matter, it must limit Portland's rebounding advantage and first reduce the points it gives up.
Away Team Analysis
Hot4W80%
4W1L
Avg ScoredStrong
117.8
Avg ConcededAverage
112.6
DateHomeScoreAwayResult
26.11.03
Nuggets
110-118
Blazers
W
26.11.01
Jazz
90-112
Blazers
W
26.10.28
Lakers
129-136
Blazers
W
26.10.24
Kings
120-128
Blazers
W
26.04.29
Spurs
114-95
Blazers
L
Blazers
Portland's recent form and road record point the same way: it is 4-1 with 119.4 points scored and 114.6 allowed per game over its last five, and 4-0 on the road with 123.5 scored and 112.25 allowed across its last four away games. A separate road rebounding figure is not supplied, but its 45.8 rebounds over the last five exceed Phoenix's 39.6. The qualification is a 26.25-to-30 first-quarter scoring-and-allowing split on the road. If the defense falters early, Portland may struggle to sustain its road edge against Phoenix's home scoring.
H2H Analysis
Average40%
2W3L
Avg ScoredAverage
105.4
Avg ConcededAverage
113.0
DateHomeScoreAwayResult
26.10.22
Blazers
124-83
Suns
W
26.04.15
Suns
110-114
Blazers
L
26.02.23
Suns
77-92
Blazers
L
26.02.04
Blazers
125-130
Suns
L
25.11.19
Blazers
110-127
Suns
L
H2H Analysis
In the five recent meetings from Phoenix's perspective, the Suns went 2-3, scoring 96.2 and allowing 106.8 points per game; the average combined total was 203. That low-scoring pattern warns against today's over, but does not fit the current scoring figures particularly well: Phoenix has averaged 112.2 points over its last five and Portland 119.4. The head-to-head window runs from February 4 to October 22, 2026, so it cannot settle today's matchup in place of the teams' present production and Portland's road form.