Spurs vs Mavs

Victor Wembanyama’s 30.33 points and 10.67 rebounds per game, with 48.65% shooting over his recent 3 player games, support both San Antonio’s interior advantage and its scoring route. Dallas can answer through Daniel Gafford, who averaged 8.33 rebounds and shot 85.71% over his recent 3 player games, though he played 27.33 minutes per game. If Wembanyama sustains his rebounding and work near the rim, the Spurs’ edge grows.

Over their last 5 games, the Spurs have averaged 121.8 points, 48.4 rebounds and 58 paint points, giving them an interior route to pressure Dallas. Their 48.09% field-goal rate and 13 turnovers per game also support the offense. Dallas can counter with its 49.4% field-goal percentage this season, but must address its rebounding and paint-scoring deficits over its last 5 games.

Dallas averaged 111 points and allowed 110.6 over its last 5 games, shooting 47.49%, below its season averages of 114.33 points and 49.4% shooting. Its season efficiency offers a route against San Antonio’s 105.6 points allowed over its last 5 games, but Dallas’s 16.6 turnovers and 43.6 rebounds over its last 5 games could cost possessions and deepen its interior disadvantage.

San Antonio won all 5 meetings from 2025-10-23 to 2026-10-25, averaging 131.8 points scored and 113.2 allowed, with an 18.6-point margin. The Spurs’ current rebounding and paint-scoring advantages offer a reason that pattern could repeat. But the 245-point both-teams average in those meetings sits above this total line and contrasts with the teams’ recent scoring averages.