Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig Soccer Match Analysis

Leverkusen

VS22:30Scheduled

Leipzig

Market signal

Expected vs Actual Win Rate

Broadly aligned with marketMoney flow: Leipzig

Leverkusen winOdds 48.4%-10.9pp

Actual 37.5%

37.5%

DrawOdds 22.5%-2.5pp

20.0%

Leipzig winOdds 29.1%-20.4pp

8.7%

Color segment = actual vs expected (green above · gray below)

Sample games: Leverkusen win40Draw70Leipzig win23
Road profile · Leipzig: Actual44.1%-2.3pp

Players

Key Players

Leverkusen

Patrik Schick

Forward · 3G avg · G 1.0 · A 0.3 · Rating 8.00

Gutierrez Miguel

Defender · 3G avg · A 0.7 · Rating 7.77 · KP 2.7

Christian Kofane

Forward · 3G avg · G 0.7 · Rating 6.90 · KP 0.3

Leipzig

Antonio Nusa

Forward · 3G avg · G 0.7 · A 0.7 · Rating 8.03

Tidiam Gomis

Forward · 3G avg · G 0.3 · A 0.7 · Rating 7.37

Christopher Nkunku

Forward · 3G avg · G 0.3 · A 0.3 · Rating 7.57

Top 3 risers per team · Last games averages

Odds Flow

Pre-match movement — falling odds indicate market support.

Leverkusen1.95
Leipzig3.25
Draw4.20

No movement since opening.

Time	Leverkusen	Leipzig	Draw
01:31	1.95	3.25 ▴	4.20
22:00	1.95	3.10 ▾	4.50
10:30	1.95	3.30	4.20
23:20	1.95	3.30	4.10

Odds Trend

Win odds the market set — last 5 games in order (most recent at right)

Leverkusen1.39
Leipzig2.06

Leverkusen average odds 1.39 · actual win rate 60% / Leipzig average odds 2.06 · actual win rate 60%

Last 5 Games

Leverkusen

Leipzig

2.0

Avg Goals

2.4

1.8

Avg Conceded

1.6

0.2

Avg GD

0.8

8.4

Corners

5.2

10.8

Fouls

8.2

1.4

Yellow Cards

1.0

Home Team Analysis

Hot3W80%

4W1D0L

Avg ScoredStrong

2.6

Avg ConcededStable

0.6

DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult

DateLeagueHomeScoreAway1X2Result

26.09.17

UEL L.

Leverkusen

2-0

Celje

26.09.17

UEL L.

Leverkusen

2-0

Celje

1.05

15.00

34.00

26.09.05

Bund

Leverkusen

4-0

Union Berlin

26.09.05

Bund

Leverkusen

4-0

Union Berlin

1.33

5.25

7.50

26.08.08

Club Friendly (INTL)

Leverkusen

2-1

Sevilla

26.08.08

Club Friendly (INTL)

Leverkusen

2-1

Sevilla

1.80

3.75

3.40

26.05.16

Bund

Leverkusen

1-1

HSV

26.05.16

Bund

Leverkusen

1-1

HSV

1.30

6.25

7.50

26.05.03

Bund

Leverkusen

4-1

Leipzig

26.05.03

Bund

Leverkusen

4-1

Leipzig

2.20

3.90

2.90

Away Team Analysis

Poor2L20%

1W0D4L

Avg ScoredStrong

2.0

Avg ConcededUnstable

3.0

DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult

DateLeagueHomeScoreAway1X2Result

26.09.11

UCL L.

Como

4-1

Leipzig

26.09.11

UCL L.

Como

4-1

Leipzig

1.67

4.20

4.50

26.09.05

Bund

Bremen

3-1

Leipzig

26.09.05

Bund

Bremen

3-1

Leipzig

3.75

4.20

1.83

26.08.23

FA Cup (DE)

Eintracht Tr…

0-6

Leipzig

26.08.23

FA Cup (DE)

Eintracht Tr…

0-6

Leipzig

41.00

21.00

1.02

26.05.16

Bund

Freiburg

4-1

Leipzig

26.05.16

Bund

Freiburg

4-1

Leipzig

2.45

3.80

2.55

26.05.03

Bund

Leverkusen

4-1

Leipzig

26.05.03

Bund

Leverkusen

4-1

Leipzig

2.20

3.90

2.90

H2H Analysis

Good60%

3W1D1L

Avg ScoredStrong

2.8

Avg ConcededAverage

1.8

DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult

DateLeagueHomeScoreAway1X2Result

26.05.03

Bund

Leverkusen

4-1

Leipzig

26.05.03

Bund

Leverkusen

4-1

Leipzig

2.20

3.90

2.90

25.12.21

Bund

Leipzig

1-3

Leverkusen

25.12.21

Bund

Leipzig

1-3

Leverkusen

2.10

3.90

3.10

25.01.25

Bund

Leipzig

2-2

Leverkusen

25.01.25

Bund

Leipzig

2-2

Leverkusen

3.40

3.50

2.10

24.09.01

Bund

Leverkusen

2-3

Leipzig

24.09.01

Bund

Leverkusen

2-3

Leipzig

1.75

4.20

4.10

24.01.21

Bund

Leipzig

2-3

Leverkusen

24.01.21

Bund

Leipzig

2-3

Leverkusen

2.38

3.50

2.75

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Market signal

Expected vs Actual Win Rate

Broadly aligned with marketMoney flow: Leipzig

Leverkusen winOdds 48.4%-10.9pp

Actual 37.5%

37.5%

DrawOdds 22.5%-2.5pp

20.0%

Leipzig winOdds 29.1%-20.4pp

8.7%

Color segment = actual vs expected (green above · gray below)

Sample games: Leverkusen win40Draw70Leipzig win23
Road profile · Leipzig: Actual44.1%-2.3pp

Players

Key Players

Leverkusen

Patrik Schick

Forward · 3G avg · G 1.0 · A 0.3 · Rating 8.00

Gutierrez Miguel

Defender · 3G avg · A 0.7 · Rating 7.77 · KP 2.7

Christian Kofane

Forward · 3G avg · G 0.7 · Rating 6.90 · KP 0.3

Leipzig

Antonio Nusa

Forward · 3G avg · G 0.7 · A 0.7 · Rating 8.03

Tidiam Gomis

Forward · 3G avg · G 0.3 · A 0.7 · Rating 7.37

Christopher Nkunku

Forward · 3G avg · G 0.3 · A 0.3 · Rating 7.57

Top 3 risers per team · Last games averages

Odds Flow

Pre-match movement — falling odds indicate market support.

Leverkusen1.95
Leipzig3.25
Draw4.20

No movement since opening.

Time	Leverkusen	Leipzig	Draw
01:31	1.95	3.25 ▴	4.20
22:00	1.95	3.10 ▾	4.50
10:30	1.95	3.30	4.20
23:20	1.95	3.30	4.10

Odds Trend

Win odds the market set — last 5 games in order (most recent at right)

Leverkusen1.39
Leipzig2.06

Leverkusen average odds 1.39 · actual win rate 60% / Leipzig average odds 2.06 · actual win rate 60%

Last 5 Games

Leverkusen

Leipzig

2.0

Avg Goals

2.4

1.8

Avg Conceded

1.6

0.2

Avg GD

0.8

8.4

Corners

5.2

10.8

Fouls

8.2

1.4

Yellow Cards

1.0

Home Team Analysis

Hot3W80%

4W1D0L

Avg ScoredStrong

2.6

Avg ConcededStable

0.6

DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult

DateLeagueHomeScoreAway1X2Result

26.09.17

UEL L.

Leverkusen

2-0

Celje

26.09.17

UEL L.

Leverkusen

2-0

Celje

1.05

15.00

34.00

26.09.05

Bund

Leverkusen

4-0

Union Berlin

26.09.05

Bund

Leverkusen

4-0

Union Berlin

1.33

5.25

7.50

26.08.08

Club Friendly (INTL)

Leverkusen

2-1

Sevilla

26.08.08

Club Friendly (INTL)

Leverkusen

2-1

Sevilla

1.80

3.75

3.40

26.05.16

Bund

Leverkusen

1-1

HSV

26.05.16

Bund

Leverkusen

1-1

HSV

1.30

6.25

7.50

26.05.03

Bund

Leverkusen

4-1

Leipzig

26.05.03

Bund

Leverkusen

4-1

Leipzig

2.20

3.90

2.90

Away Team Analysis

Poor2L20%

1W0D4L

Avg ScoredStrong

2.0

Avg ConcededUnstable

3.0

DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult

DateLeagueHomeScoreAway1X2Result

26.09.11

UCL L.

Como

4-1

Leipzig

26.09.11

UCL L.

Como

4-1

Leipzig

1.67

4.20

4.50

26.09.05

Bund

Bremen

3-1

Leipzig

26.09.05

Bund

Bremen

3-1

Leipzig

3.75

4.20

1.83

26.08.23

FA Cup (DE)

Eintracht Tr…

0-6

Leipzig

26.08.23

FA Cup (DE)

Eintracht Tr…

0-6

Leipzig

41.00

21.00

1.02

26.05.16

Bund

Freiburg

4-1

Leipzig

26.05.16

Bund

Freiburg

4-1

Leipzig

2.45

3.80

2.55

26.05.03

Bund

Leverkusen

4-1

Leipzig

26.05.03

Bund

Leverkusen

4-1

Leipzig

2.20

3.90

2.90

H2H Analysis

Good60%

3W1D1L

Avg ScoredStrong

2.8

Avg ConcededAverage

1.8

DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult

DateLeagueHomeScoreAway1X2Result

26.05.03

Bund

Leverkusen

4-1

Leipzig

26.05.03

Bund

Leverkusen

4-1

Leipzig

2.20

3.90

2.90

25.12.21

Bund

Leipzig

1-3

Leverkusen

25.12.21

Bund

Leipzig

1-3

Leverkusen

2.10

3.90

3.10

25.01.25

Bund

Leipzig

2-2

Leverkusen

25.01.25

Bund

Leipzig

2-2

Leverkusen

3.40

3.50

2.10

24.09.01

Bund

Leverkusen

2-3

Leipzig

24.09.01

Bund

Leverkusen

2-3

Leipzig

1.75

4.20

4.10

24.01.21

Bund

Leipzig

2-3

Leverkusen

24.01.21

Bund

Leipzig

2-3

Leverkusen

2.38

3.50

2.75

Market signal

Expected vs Actual Win Ratei

Players

Leverkusen

Leipzig

Market signal

Expected vs Actual Win Ratei

Players

Leverkusen

Leipzig

Expected vs Actual Win Rate

Expected vs Actual Win Rate