Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United FC Soccer Match Analysis

Portland

VS0 - 1FT

Atlanta

Market signal

Expected vs Actual Win Rate

Broadly aligned with market

Portland winOdds 44.8%-2.2pp

Actual 42.6%

42.6%

DrawOdds 24.8%+1.1pp

25.9%

Atlanta winOdds 30.4%+1.0pp

31.4%

Color segment = actual vs expected (green above · gray below)

Sample games: Portland win115Draw290Atlanta win118
Road profile · Atlanta: Actual16.7%-9.7pp

Players

Key Players

Portland

Kristoffer Velde

Forward · 3G avg · G 1.0 · Rating 7.97 · KP 2.3

Vincent Janssen

Forward · 2G avg · G 1.5 · Rating 7.85 · KP 2.5

Ariel Lassiter

Forward · 3G avg · G 0.3 · A 0.3 · Rating 7.33

Atlanta

Miguel Almirón

Forward · 3G avg · G 0.3 · Rating 7.20 · KP 3.0

Breel Embolo

Forward · 3G avg · G 0.3 · Rating 6.67 · KP 1.3

Aleksei Miranchuk

Midfielder · 3G avg · Rating 7.30 · KP 1.0 · Sh 2.0

Top 3 risers per team · Last games averages

Odds Flow

Pre-match movement — falling odds indicate market support.

Portland1.91
Atlanta3.50
Draw4.00

No movement since opening.

Time	Portland	Atlanta	Draw
15:38	1.91 ▾	3.50 ▴	4.00
12:30	1.96 ▾	3.40 ▴	3.90
10:33	2.05 ▾	3.20 ▴	3.80
11:30	2.10 ▾	3.10 ▴	3.80
21:31	2.15 ▴	3.00 ▾	3.70
11:44	1.91	3.40	3.80

Odds Trend

Win odds the market set — last 5 games in order (most recent at right)

Portland3.11
Atlanta3.30

Portland average odds 3.11 · actual win rate 20% / Atlanta average odds 3.30 · actual win rate 20%

Last 5 Games

Portland

Atlanta

2.0

Avg Goals

1.5

2.2

Avg Conceded

1.5

-0.2

Avg GD

0.0

4.8

Corners

5.8

10.0

Fouls

10.0

1.2

Yellow Cards

2.0

Home Team Analysis

Good60%

3W1D1L

Avg ScoredStrong

2.8

Avg ConcededAverage

2.0

DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult

DateLeagueHomeScoreAway1X2Result

26.09.10

MLS L.

Portland

2-2

St. Louis

26.09.10

MLS L.

Portland

2-2

St. Louis

2.40

3.90

2.50

26.09.06

MLS L.

Portland

5-4

Minnesota

26.09.06

MLS L.

Portland

5-4

Minnesota

2.55

3.70

2.50

26.08.30

MLS L.

Portland

1-2

Austin

26.08.30

MLS L.

Portland

1-2

Austin

1.53

4.33

5.50

26.08.20

MLS L.

Portland

3-1

San Diego

26.08.20

MLS L.

Portland

3-1

San Diego

1.81

4.20

3.60

26.08.14

L. Cup (CONCACAF)

Portland

3-1

Tijuana

26.08.14

L. Cup (CONCACAF)

Portland

3-1

Tijuana

1.65

4.50

4.20

Away Team Analysis

Poor2D20%

1W2D2L

Avg ScoredAverage

1.4

Avg ConcededAverage

2.0

DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult

DateLeagueHomeScoreAway1X2Result

26.09.13

MLS L.

DC United

0-0

Atlanta

26.09.13

MLS L.

DC United

0-0

Atlanta

2.25

3.75

2.82

26.09.06

MLS L.

Inter Miami

2-2

Atlanta

26.09.06

MLS L.

Inter Miami

2-2

Atlanta

1.33

5.50

7.50

26.08.20

MLS L.

Minnesota

1-2

Atlanta

26.08.20

MLS L.

Minnesota

1-2

Atlanta

1.68

4.10

4.50

26.08.02

MLS L.

Philly

3-2

Atlanta

26.08.02

MLS L.

Philly

3-2

Atlanta

1.53

4.33

5.25

26.07.26

MLS L.

New England

4-1

Atlanta

26.07.26

MLS L.

New England

4-1

Atlanta

2.25

3.50

3.10

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Market signal

Expected vs Actual Win Rate

Broadly aligned with market

Portland winOdds 44.8%-2.2pp

Actual 42.6%

42.6%

DrawOdds 24.8%+1.1pp

25.9%

Atlanta winOdds 30.4%+1.0pp

31.4%

Color segment = actual vs expected (green above · gray below)

Sample games: Portland win115Draw290Atlanta win118
Road profile · Atlanta: Actual16.7%-9.7pp

Players

Key Players

Portland

Kristoffer Velde

Forward · 3G avg · G 1.0 · Rating 7.97 · KP 2.3

Vincent Janssen

Forward · 2G avg · G 1.5 · Rating 7.85 · KP 2.5

Ariel Lassiter

Forward · 3G avg · G 0.3 · A 0.3 · Rating 7.33

Atlanta

Miguel Almirón

Forward · 3G avg · G 0.3 · Rating 7.20 · KP 3.0

Breel Embolo

Forward · 3G avg · G 0.3 · Rating 6.67 · KP 1.3

Aleksei Miranchuk

Midfielder · 3G avg · Rating 7.30 · KP 1.0 · Sh 2.0

Top 3 risers per team · Last games averages

Odds Flow

Pre-match movement — falling odds indicate market support.

Portland1.91
Atlanta3.50
Draw4.00

No movement since opening.

Time	Portland	Atlanta	Draw
15:38	1.91 ▾	3.50 ▴	4.00
12:30	1.96 ▾	3.40 ▴	3.90
10:33	2.05 ▾	3.20 ▴	3.80
11:30	2.10 ▾	3.10 ▴	3.80
21:31	2.15 ▴	3.00 ▾	3.70
11:44	1.91	3.40	3.80

Odds Trend

Win odds the market set — last 5 games in order (most recent at right)

Portland3.11
Atlanta3.30

Portland average odds 3.11 · actual win rate 20% / Atlanta average odds 3.30 · actual win rate 20%

Last 5 Games

Portland

Atlanta

2.0

Avg Goals

1.5

2.2

Avg Conceded

1.5

-0.2

Avg GD

0.0

4.8

Corners

5.8

10.0

Fouls

10.0

1.2

Yellow Cards

2.0

Home Team Analysis

Good60%

3W1D1L

Avg ScoredStrong

2.8

Avg ConcededAverage

2.0

DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult

DateLeagueHomeScoreAway1X2Result

26.09.10

MLS L.

Portland

2-2

St. Louis

26.09.10

MLS L.

Portland

2-2

St. Louis

2.40

3.90

2.50

26.09.06

MLS L.

Portland

5-4

Minnesota

26.09.06

MLS L.

Portland

5-4

Minnesota

2.55

3.70

2.50

26.08.30

MLS L.

Portland

1-2

Austin

26.08.30

MLS L.

Portland

1-2

Austin

1.53

4.33

5.50

26.08.20

MLS L.

Portland

3-1

San Diego

26.08.20

MLS L.

Portland

3-1

San Diego

1.81

4.20

3.60

26.08.14

L. Cup (CONCACAF)

Portland

3-1

Tijuana

26.08.14

L. Cup (CONCACAF)

Portland

3-1

Tijuana

1.65

4.50

4.20

Away Team Analysis

Poor2D20%

1W2D2L

Avg ScoredAverage

1.4

Avg ConcededAverage

2.0

DateLeagueHomeScoreAwayResult

DateLeagueHomeScoreAway1X2Result

26.09.13

MLS L.

DC United

0-0

Atlanta

26.09.13

MLS L.

DC United

0-0

Atlanta

2.25

3.75

2.82

26.09.06

MLS L.

Inter Miami

2-2

Atlanta

26.09.06

MLS L.

Inter Miami

2-2

Atlanta

1.33

5.50

7.50

26.08.20

MLS L.

Minnesota

1-2

Atlanta

26.08.20

MLS L.

Minnesota

1-2

Atlanta

1.68

4.10

4.50

26.08.02

MLS L.

Philly

3-2

Atlanta

26.08.02

MLS L.

Philly

3-2

Atlanta

1.53

4.33

5.25

26.07.26

MLS L.

New England

4-1

Atlanta

26.07.26

MLS L.

New England

4-1

Atlanta

2.25

3.50

3.10

Market signal

Expected vs Actual Win Ratei

Players

Portland

Atlanta

Market signal

Expected vs Actual Win Ratei

Players

Portland

Atlanta

Expected vs Actual Win Rate

Expected vs Actual Win Rate